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Nieciecza vs Lechia Gdansk Prediction, H2H, Stats & Betting Tips

Poland · EkstraklasaSat, 23 May 2026

Nieciecza

18th in table · 34 pts

WDWLW

Sat, 23 May 202616:30

3 : 2

Full time

Lechia Gdansk

16th in table · 38 pts

WWWWL

Pre-match win probability

24.9%Nieciecza21.9%Draw53.2%Lechia Gdansk

Our prediction

Home · Nieciecza

Nieciecza vs Lechia Gdansk listed tip from the board.

Odds3.7
Confidence53.2%
ResultGraded
Pre-match model probabilityPick and odds as published before kick-off
  • Nieciecza 24.9%
  • Draw 21.9%
  • Lechia Gdansk 53.2%

Season statistics

Ekstraklasa · 10 matches each · highlighted side is stronger

NiecieczaLechia Gdansk
Goals scored (avg)
2.12.5
Goals conceded (avg)Lower is better
1.21.2
Wins
912
Played
3434

Recent form

Last matches · newest first

Nieciecza7W 2D 1L in last 10
  • 27 OctOlimpia Grudziądz0 – 1NiecieczaW
  • 24 OctArka Gdynia3 – 1NiecieczaL
  • 19 OctNieciecza2 – 0Puszcza NiepołomiceW
  • 10 OctUnia Skierniewice2 – 2NiecieczaD
  • 3 OctCracovia Krakow2 – 3NiecieczaW
Lechia Gdansk8W 0D 2L in last 10
  • 24 OctPuszcza Niepołomice2 – 1Lechia GdanskL
  • 18 OctLechia Gdansk2 – 1Arka GdyniaW
  • 12 OctStal Rzeszów1 – 2Lechia GdanskW
  • 3 OctRuch Chorzów1 – 3Lechia GdanskW
  • 19 SeptLechia Gdansk7 – 1Stal MielecW
H2H
Head to headNieciecza 1W · 1D · Lechia Gdansk 4W · 2.8 goals a game
  • 4 SeptNieciecza2 – 1Lechia Gdansk
  • 29 NovLechia Gdansk5 – 1Nieciecza
  • 14 AprLechia Gdansk3 – 1Nieciecza
  • 1 OctNieciecza0 – 0Lechia Gdansk
  • 9 AprLechia Gdansk2 – 0Nieciecza
  • 16 OctNieciecza0 – 2Lechia Gdansk

Betting markets

Bookmaker prices with margin removed

Goal lineOverUnder
0.5 goals23.4% · 1.011.1% · 21
1.5 goals21.3% · 1.113.6% · 6.5
2.5 goals16.9% · 1.48.2% · 2.88
3.5 goals11.8% · 213.7% · 1.73

Both teams to score

Yes64.5%
No35.5%

Double chance

1X38.4%
X261.6%

Match result

Nieciecza3.7
Draw4.2
Lechia Gdansk1.73

Both teams to score

Yes64.5% · 1.44
No35.5% · 2.62

1X

Chance38.4%
Odds2.05

X2

Chance61.6%
Odds1.28

Nieciecza

Chance24.9%
Odds3.7

Draw

Chance21.9%
Odds4.2

Lechia Gdansk

Chance53.2%
Odds1.73

No half-time prices stored.

No corner prices stored.

Model comparison

Our pick: Home at 3.7

NiecieczaLechia Gdansk
Recent form49%51%
Attack46%54%
Defence50%50%
Goals model46%54%
Head-to-head25%75%
Overall32%68%

Trends

Trend · Ekstraklasa

Nieciecza scored 2.1 per game in the last 10.

Trend · Ekstraklasa

Nieciecza conceded 1.2 per game in the last 10.

Trend · Ekstraklasa

Kept a clean sheet in 3 of those 10.

Trend · Ekstraklasa

Over 2.5 goals in 7 of those 10.

Nieciecza vs Lechia Gdansk: prediction & preview

Poland · Ekstraklasa · Sat, 23 May 2026

Nieciecza meet Lechia Gdansk in the Poland, Ekstraklasa on 23 May 2026 at 16:30 (Africa/Lagos). The recorded score is 3–2.

On the 1X2 market the shortest price is Lechia Gdansk at 1.73. Once the bookmaker margin is removed, that outcome carries about 53.2% of the implied chance, with the other two outcomes sharing the rest. A short price means the market rates that side more likely. It is not a certainty, and the margin means the three raw probabilities add up to more than 100% before they are scaled.

The 2.5-goal line is priced shorter on Over 2.5 (1.4, about 67.3% after the margin). Both teams to score is shorter on Yes at 1.44.

Season points-per-game rates were not stored on this fixture yet. The odds chart still shows how the 1X2, goals, and both-teams markets are priced.

Nieciecza vs Lechia Gdansk FAQs

4 questions

What time is Nieciecza vs Lechia Gdansk?

Kickoff is 16:30 on 23 May 2026, shown in Africa/Lagos.

Which outcome is shortest on Nieciecza vs Lechia Gdansk?

Lechia Gdansk is the shortest 1X2 price at 1.73. The margin-adjusted share is about 53.2%.

What are the over and under 2.5 prices?

Over 2.5 is 1.4 and under 2.5 is 2.88.

Do both teams score on this match?

Both teams to score is priced at 1.44. That is a market price, not a forecast that both sides will score.