Noroeste vs Comercial Prediction, H2H, Stats & Betting Tips

Brazil · Copa PaulistaSat, 22 Aug 2026

Noroeste

Sat, 22 Aug 202619:00

4 : 3

Full time

Comercial

Pre-match win probability

55.2%Noroeste24.9%Draw19.9%Comercial

Our prediction

Noroeste

Noroeste is the shortest 1X2 price in the stored market.

Odds1.62
Confidence55.2%
ResultGraded
Pre-match model probabilityPick and odds as published before kick-off
  • Noroeste 55.2%
  • Draw 24.9%
  • Comercial 19.9%

Season statistics

Copa Paulista · highlighted side is stronger

NoroesteComercial

Betting markets

Bookmaker prices with margin removed

Goal lineOverUnder
2.5 goals44.7% · 2.155.3% · 1.7

Double chance

1X65.2%
X234.8%

Match result

Noroeste1.62
Draw3.6
Comercial4.5

No BTTS prices stored.

1X

Chance65.2%
Odds1.12

X2

Chance34.8%
Odds2.1

Noroeste

Chance55.2%
Odds1.62

Draw

Chance24.9%
Odds3.6

Comercial

Chance19.9%
Odds4.5

No half-time prices stored.

No corner prices stored.

Model comparison

Our pick: Noroeste at 1.62

NoroesteComercial
Recent form50%50%
Attack50%50%
Defence50%50%
Goals model50%50%
Overall74%26%

Noroeste vs Comercial: prediction & preview

Brazil · Copa Paulista · Sat, 22 Aug 2026

Noroeste meet Comercial in the Brazil, Copa Paulista on 22 August 2026 at 19:00 (Africa/Lagos). The recorded score is 4–3.

On the 1X2 market the shortest price is Noroeste at 1.62. Once the bookmaker margin is removed, that outcome carries about 55.2% of the implied chance, with the other two outcomes sharing the rest. A short price means the market rates that side more likely. It is not a certainty, and the margin means the three raw probabilities add up to more than 100% before they are scaled.

The 2.5-goal line is priced shorter on Under 2.5 (1.7, about 55.3% after the margin).

Season points-per-game rates were not stored on this fixture yet. The odds chart still shows how the 1X2, goals, and both-teams markets are priced.

Noroeste vs Comercial FAQs

4 questions

What time is Noroeste vs Comercial?

Kickoff is 19:00 on 22 August 2026, shown in Africa/Lagos.

Which outcome is shortest on Noroeste vs Comercial?

Noroeste is the shortest 1X2 price at 1.62. The margin-adjusted share is about 55.2%.

What are the over and under 2.5 prices?

Over 2.5 is 2.1 and under 2.5 is 1.7.

Do both teams score on this match?

A both-teams-to-score price is not stored for this match.

Noroeste vs Comercial prediction, H2H and stats