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North Carolina vs Phoenix Rising Prediction, H2H, Stats & Betting Tips

USA · USL ChampionshipSat, 11 Oct 2025

North Carolina

LDWWL

Sat, 11 Oct 202500:00

vs

Not started

Phoenix Rising

6th in table · 40 pts

LLWWD

Pre-match win probability

42.8%North Carolina27.4%Draw29.8%Phoenix Rising

Our prediction

North Carolina

North Carolina is the shortest 1X2 price in the stored market.

Odds2.16
Confidence42.8%
ResultPending
Pre-match model probabilityPick and odds as published before kick-off
  • North Carolina 42.8%
  • Draw 27.4%
  • Phoenix Rising 29.8%

Season statistics

USL Championship · 9 matches each · highlighted side is stronger

North CarolinaPhoenix Rising
Goals scored (avg)
0.81.8
Goals conceded (avg)Lower is better
0.81.9
Wins
–9
Played
–30

Recent form

Last matches · newest first

North Carolina4W 3D 2L in last 9
  • 9 NovNorth Carolina0 – 2Rhode IslandL
  • 2 NovNorth Carolina1 – 0Loudoun UnitedW
  • 25 OctLoudoun United0 – 1North CarolinaW
  • 19 OctNorth Carolina0 – 0Rhode IslandD
  • 4 OctDetroit City2 – 0North CarolinaL
Phoenix Rising4W 3D 3L in last 10
  • 25 OctPhoenix Rising3 – 3LexingtonD
  • 18 OctOrange County SC1 – 3Phoenix RisingW
  • 11 OctPhoenix Rising3 – 2Las Vegas LightsW
  • 4 OctNew Mexico United2 – 1Phoenix RisingL
  • 27 SeptOakland Roots3 – 0Phoenix RisingL
H2H
Head to headNorth Carolina 0W · 1D · Phoenix Rising 1W · 1.5 goals a game
  • 25 AugPhoenix Rising0 – 0North Carolina
  • 9 MayNorth Carolina1 – 2Phoenix Rising

Betting markets

Bookmaker prices with margin removed

Goal lineOverUnder
0.5 goals22.6% · 1.012.2% · 10.3
1.5 goals18.7% · 1.226.5% · 3.5
2.5 goals12.7% · 1.811.9% · 1.92
3.5 goals7.9% · 2.8817.3% · 1.32

Both teams to score

Yes56.1%
No43.9%

Double chance

1X55.1%
X244.9%

Match result

North Carolina2.16
Draw3.38
Phoenix Rising3.1

Both teams to score

Yes56.1% · 1.64
No43.9% · 2.1

1X

Chance55.1%
Odds1.32

X2

Chance44.9%
Odds1.62

North Carolina

Chance42.8%
Odds2.16

Draw

Chance27.4%
Odds3.38

Phoenix Rising

Chance29.8%
Odds3.1

No half-time prices stored.

No corner prices stored.

Model comparison

Our pick: North Carolina at 2.16

North CarolinaPhoenix Rising
Recent form50%50%
Attack31%69%
Defence67%33%
Goals model31%69%
Head-to-head25%75%
Overall59%41%

Trends

Trend · USL Championship

North Carolina scored 0.8 per game in the last 9.

Trend · USL Championship

North Carolina conceded 0.8 per game in the last 9.

Trend · USL Championship

Failed to score in 3 of those 9.

Trend · USL Championship

Kept a clean sheet in 5 of those 9.

North Carolina vs Phoenix Rising: prediction & preview

USA · USL Championship · Sat, 11 Oct 2025

North Carolina meet Phoenix Rising in the USA, USL Championship on 11 October 2025 at 00:00 (Africa/Lagos). The numbers below are pre-match prices and team rates. They describe the match. They do not promise a result.

On the 1X2 market the shortest price is North Carolina at 2.16. Once the bookmaker margin is removed, that outcome carries about 42.8% of the implied chance, with the other two outcomes sharing the rest. A short price means the market rates that side more likely. It is not a certainty, and the margin means the three raw probabilities add up to more than 100% before they are scaled.

The 2.5-goal line is priced shorter on Over 2.5 (1.8, about 51.6% after the margin). Both teams to score is shorter on Yes at 1.64.

Season points-per-game rates were not stored on this fixture yet. The odds chart still shows how the 1X2, goals, and both-teams markets are priced.

North Carolina vs Phoenix Rising FAQs

4 questions

What time is North Carolina vs Phoenix Rising?

Kickoff is 00:00 on 11 October 2025, shown in Africa/Lagos.

Which outcome is shortest on North Carolina vs Phoenix Rising?

North Carolina is the shortest 1X2 price at 2.16. The margin-adjusted share is about 42.8%.

What are the over and under 2.5 prices?

Over 2.5 is 1.8 and under 2.5 is 1.92.

Do both teams score on this match?

Both teams to score is priced at 1.64. That is a market price, not a forecast that both sides will score.