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Northcote City vs Melbourne Victory II Prediction, H2H, Stats & Betting Tips

Australia · Victoria NPL 2Fri, 1 May 2026

Northcote City

3rd in table · 49 pts

WLLWD

Fri, 1 May 202611:30

1 : 0

Full time

Melbourne Victory II

5th in table · 46 pts

Pre-match win probability

43.5%Northcote City22.3%Draw34.3%Melbourne Victory II

Our prediction

Northcote City

Northcote City is the shortest 1X2 price in the stored market.

Odds2.05
Confidence43.5%
ResultGraded
Pre-match model probabilityPick and odds as published before kick-off
  • Northcote City 43.5%
  • Draw 22.3%
  • Melbourne Victory II 34.3%

Season statistics

Victoria NPL 2 · 10 matches each · highlighted side is stronger

Northcote CityMelbourne Victory II
Goals scored (avg)
1.6–
Goals conceded (avg)Lower is better
1.6–
Wins
1514
Played
2626

Recent form

Last matches · newest first

Northcote City4W 2D 4L in last 10
  • 19 SeptMelbourne Victory II1 – 1Northcote CityD
  • 11 SeptNorthcote City3 – 2Bulleen LionsW
  • 30 AugBulleen Lions3 – 1Northcote CityL
  • 21 AugNorthcote City1 – 2Brunswick Juventus FCL
  • 17 AugMelbourne Victory II0 – 1Northcote CityW
Melbourne Victory II0W 0D 0L in last 0
    H2H
    Head to headNo previous meetings found between these sides.

    Betting markets

    Bookmaker prices with margin removed

    Goal lineOverUnder
    2.5 goals66.3% · 1.433.7% · 2.75

    Double chance

    1X60.4%
    X239.6%

    Match result

    Northcote City2.05
    Draw4
    Melbourne Victory II2.6

    No BTTS prices stored.

    1X

    Chance60.4%
    Odds1.25

    X2

    Chance39.6%
    Odds1.91

    Northcote City

    Chance43.5%
    Odds2.05

    Draw

    Chance22.3%
    Odds4

    Melbourne Victory II

    Chance34.3%
    Odds2.6

    No half-time prices stored.

    No corner prices stored.

    Model comparison

    Our pick: Northcote City at 2.05

    Northcote CityMelbourne Victory II
    Recent form93%7%
    Attack62%38%
    Defence58%42%
    Goals model62%38%
    Overall56%44%

    Trends

    Trend · Victoria NPL 2

    Northcote City scored 1.6 per game in the last 10.

    Trend · Victoria NPL 2

    Northcote City conceded 1.6 per game in the last 10.

    Trend · Victoria NPL 2

    Failed to score in 1 of those 10.

    Trend · Victoria NPL 2

    Kept a clean sheet in 2 of those 10.

    Northcote City vs Melbourne Victory II: prediction & preview

    Australia · Victoria NPL 2 · Fri, 1 May 2026

    Northcote City meet Melbourne Victory II in the Australia, Victoria NPL 2 on 1 May 2026 at 11:30 (Africa/Lagos). The recorded score is 1–0.

    On the 1X2 market the shortest price is Northcote City at 2.05. Once the bookmaker margin is removed, that outcome carries about 43.5% of the implied chance, with the other two outcomes sharing the rest. A short price means the market rates that side more likely. It is not a certainty, and the margin means the three raw probabilities add up to more than 100% before they are scaled.

    The 2.5-goal line is priced shorter on Over 2.5 (1.4, about 66.3% after the margin).

    Season points-per-game rates were not stored on this fixture yet. The odds chart still shows how the 1X2, goals, and both-teams markets are priced.

    Northcote City vs Melbourne Victory II FAQs

    4 questions

    What time is Northcote City vs Melbourne Victory II?

    Kickoff is 11:30 on 1 May 2026, shown in Africa/Lagos.

    Which outcome is shortest on Northcote City vs Melbourne Victory II?

    Northcote City is the shortest 1X2 price at 2.05. The margin-adjusted share is about 43.5%.

    What are the over and under 2.5 prices?

    Over 2.5 is 1.4 and under 2.5 is 2.75.

    Do both teams score on this match?

    A both-teams-to-score price is not stored for this match.