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Nottingham Forest vs Aston Villa Prediction, H2H, Stats & Betting Tips

World · UEFA Europa LeagueThu, 30 Apr 2026

Nottingham Forest

WWWDD

Thu, 30 Apr 202620:00

1 : 0

Full time

Aston Villa

LWWDW

Pre-match win probability

34.6%Nottingham Forest28.8%Draw36.6%Aston Villa

Our prediction

Away or Draw · Nottingham Forest

Nottingham Forest vs Aston Villa listed tip from the board.

Odds1.4
Confidence36.6%
ResultGraded
Pre-match model probabilityPick and odds as published before kick-off
  • Nottingham Forest 34.6%
  • Draw 28.8%
  • Aston Villa 36.6%

Season statistics

UEFA Europa League · highlighted side is stronger

Nottingham ForestAston Villa

Betting markets

Bookmaker prices with margin removed

Goal lineOverUnder
0.5 goals22.5% · 1.062.5% · 9.5
1.5 goals17.9% · 1.337% · 3.4
2.5 goals11.9% · 213.2% · 1.8
3.5 goals6.4% · 3.7518.6% · 1.28

Both teams to score

Yes52%
No48%

Double chance

1X48.3%
X251.7%

Match result

Nottingham Forest2.75
Draw3.3
Aston Villa2.6

Both teams to score

Yes52% · 1.8
No48% · 1.95

1X

Chance48.3%
Odds1.5

X2

Chance51.7%
Odds1.4

Nottingham Forest

Chance34.6%
Odds2.75

Draw

Chance28.8%
Odds3.3

Aston Villa

Chance36.6%
Odds2.6

No half-time prices stored.

No corner prices stored.

Model comparison

Our pick: Away or Draw at 1.4

Nottingham ForestAston Villa
Recent form50%50%
Attack50%50%
Defence50%50%
Goals model50%50%
Overall49%51%

Nottingham Forest vs Aston Villa: prediction & preview

World · UEFA Europa League · Thu, 30 Apr 2026

Nottingham Forest meet Aston Villa in the World, UEFA Europa League on 30 April 2026 at 20:00 (Africa/Lagos). The recorded score is 1–0.

On the 1X2 market the shortest price is Aston Villa at 2.6. Once the bookmaker margin is removed, that outcome carries about 36.6% of the implied chance, with the other two outcomes sharing the rest. A short price means the market rates that side more likely. It is not a certainty, and the margin means the three raw probabilities add up to more than 100% before they are scaled.

The 2.5-goal line is priced shorter on Under 2.5 (1.8, about 52.6% after the margin). Both teams to score is shorter on Yes at 1.8.

Season points-per-game rates were not stored on this fixture yet. The odds chart still shows how the 1X2, goals, and both-teams markets are priced.

Nottingham Forest vs Aston Villa FAQs

4 questions

What time is Nottingham Forest vs Aston Villa?

Kickoff is 20:00 on 30 April 2026, shown in Africa/Lagos.

Which outcome is shortest on Nottingham Forest vs Aston Villa?

Aston Villa is the shortest 1X2 price at 2.6. The margin-adjusted share is about 36.6%.

What are the over and under 2.5 prices?

Over 2.5 is 2 and under 2.5 is 1.8.

Do both teams score on this match?

Both teams to score is priced at 1.8. That is a market price, not a forecast that both sides will score.

Nottingham Forest vs Aston Villa prediction, H2H and stats