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Nova Iguaçu vs Fluminense Prediction, H2H, Stats & Betting Tips

Brazil · Carioca - 1Fri, 23 Jan 2026

Nova Iguaçu

DW

Fri, 23 Jan 202601:30

2 : 3

Full time

Fluminense

LW

Pre-match win probability

15.6%Nova Iguaçu24.8%Draw59.6%Fluminense

Our prediction

Home or Draw · Nova Iguaçu

Nova Iguaçu vs Fluminense listed tip from the board.

Odds2.2
Confidence59.6%
ResultGraded
Pre-match model probabilityPick and odds as published before kick-off
  • Nova Iguaçu 15.6%
  • Draw 24.8%
  • Fluminense 59.6%

Season statistics

Carioca - 1 · highlighted side is stronger

Nova IguaçuFluminense

Betting markets

Bookmaker prices with margin removed

Goal lineOverUnder
0.5 goals21.7% · 1.082.9% · 8
1.5 goals16.3% · 1.449% · 2.62
2.5 goals10% · 2.3515% · 1.57
3.5 goals5.2% · 4.519.9% · 1.18

Both teams to score

Yes39.1%
No60.9%

Double chance

1X33.7%
X266.3%

Match result

Nova Iguaçu5.75
Draw3.6
Fluminense1.5

Both teams to score

Yes39.1% · 2.38
No60.9% · 1.53

1X

Chance33.7%
Odds2.2

X2

Chance66.3%
Odds1.12

Nova Iguaçu

Chance15.6%
Odds5.75

Draw

Chance24.8%
Odds3.6

Fluminense

Chance59.6%
Odds1.5

No half-time prices stored.

No corner prices stored.

Model comparison

Our pick: Home or Draw at 2.2

Nova IguaçuFluminense
Recent form50%50%
Attack50%50%
Defence50%50%
Goals model50%50%
Overall21%79%

Nova Iguaçu vs Fluminense: prediction & preview

Brazil · Carioca - 1 · Fri, 23 Jan 2026

Nova Iguaçu meet Fluminense in the Brazil, Carioca - 1 on 23 January 2026 at 01:30 (Africa/Lagos). The recorded score is 2–3.

On the 1X2 market the shortest price is Fluminense at 1.5. Once the bookmaker margin is removed, that outcome carries about 59.6% of the implied chance, with the other two outcomes sharing the rest. A short price means the market rates that side more likely. It is not a certainty, and the margin means the three raw probabilities add up to more than 100% before they are scaled.

The 2.5-goal line is priced shorter on Under 2.5 (1.57, about 59.9% after the margin). Both teams to score is shorter on No at 1.53.

Season points-per-game rates were not stored on this fixture yet. The odds chart still shows how the 1X2, goals, and both-teams markets are priced.

Nova Iguaçu vs Fluminense FAQs

4 questions

What time is Nova Iguaçu vs Fluminense?

Kickoff is 01:30 on 23 January 2026, shown in Africa/Lagos.

Which outcome is shortest on Nova Iguaçu vs Fluminense?

Fluminense is the shortest 1X2 price at 1.5. The margin-adjusted share is about 59.6%.

What are the over and under 2.5 prices?

Over 2.5 is 2.35 and under 2.5 is 1.57.

Do both teams score on this match?

Both teams to score is priced at 2.38. That is a market price, not a forecast that both sides will score.

Nova Iguaçu vs Fluminense prediction, H2H and stats