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Nova Iguaçu vs Fortaleza EC Prediction, H2H, Stats & Betting Tips

Brazil · Copa Do BrasilTue, 17 Mar 2026

Nova Iguaçu

Tue, 17 Mar 202623:00

0 : 1

Live

Fortaleza EC

Pre-match win probability

20.8%Nova Iguaçu31.2%Draw48%Fortaleza EC

Our prediction

Fortaleza EC

Fortaleza EC is the shortest 1X2 price in the stored market.

Odds1.95
Confidence48%
ResultGraded
Pre-match model probabilityPick and odds as published before kick-off
  • Nova Iguaçu 20.8%
  • Draw 31.2%
  • Fortaleza EC 48%

Season statistics

Copa Do Brasil · highlighted side is stronger

Nova IguaçuFortaleza EC

Betting markets

Bookmaker prices with margin removed

Goal lineOverUnder
0.5 goals21.8% · 1.082.9% · 8
1.5 goals16.8% · 1.48.5% · 2.75
2.5 goals10% · 2.3515% · 1.57
3.5 goals5.4% · 4.3319.6% · 1.2

Both teams to score

Yes45.3%
No54.7%

Double chance

1X38%
X262%

Match result

Nova Iguaçu4.5
Draw3
Fortaleza EC1.95

Both teams to score

Yes45.3% · 2.05
No54.7% · 1.7

1X

Chance38%
Odds1.91

X2

Chance62%
Odds1.17

Nova Iguaçu

Chance20.8%
Odds4.5

Draw

Chance31.2%
Odds3

Fortaleza EC

Chance48%
Odds1.95

No half-time prices stored.

No corner prices stored.

Model comparison

Our pick: Fortaleza EC at 1.95

Nova IguaçuFortaleza EC
Recent form50%50%
Attack50%50%
Defence50%50%
Goals model50%50%
Overall30%70%

Nova Iguaçu vs Fortaleza EC: prediction & preview

Brazil · Copa Do Brasil · Tue, 17 Mar 2026

Nova Iguaçu meet Fortaleza EC in the Brazil, Copa Do Brasil on 17 March 2026 at 23:00 (Africa/Lagos). The recorded score is 0–1.

On the 1X2 market the shortest price is Fortaleza EC at 1.95. Once the bookmaker margin is removed, that outcome carries about 48% of the implied chance, with the other two outcomes sharing the rest. A short price means the market rates that side more likely. It is not a certainty, and the margin means the three raw probabilities add up to more than 100% before they are scaled.

The 2.5-goal line is priced shorter on Under 2.5 (1.57, about 59.9% after the margin). Both teams to score is shorter on No at 1.7.

Season points-per-game rates were not stored on this fixture yet. The odds chart still shows how the 1X2, goals, and both-teams markets are priced.

Nova Iguaçu vs Fortaleza EC FAQs

4 questions

What time is Nova Iguaçu vs Fortaleza EC?

Kickoff is 23:00 on 17 March 2026, shown in Africa/Lagos.

Which outcome is shortest on Nova Iguaçu vs Fortaleza EC?

Fortaleza EC is the shortest 1X2 price at 1.95. The margin-adjusted share is about 48%.

What are the over and under 2.5 prices?

Over 2.5 is 2.35 and under 2.5 is 1.57.

Do both teams score on this match?

Both teams to score is priced at 2.05. That is a market price, not a forecast that both sides will score.

Nova Iguaçu vs Fortaleza EC prediction, H2H and stats