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Nova Iguaçu vs Lagarto Prediction, H2H, Stats & Betting Tips

Brazil · Copa Do BrasilWed, 4 Mar 2026

Nova Iguaçu

Wed, 4 Mar 202623:00

1 : 1

Live

Lagarto

Pre-match win probability

43.4%Nova Iguaçu28.3%Draw28.3%Lagarto

Our prediction

Nova Iguaçu

Nova Iguaçu is the shortest 1X2 price in the stored market.

Odds2.15
Confidence43.4%
ResultGraded
Pre-match model probabilityPick and odds as published before kick-off
  • Nova Iguaçu 43.4%
  • Draw 28.3%
  • Lagarto 28.3%

Season statistics

Copa Do Brasil · highlighted side is stronger

Nova IguaçuLagarto

Betting markets

Bookmaker prices with margin removed

Goal lineOverUnder
0.5 goals21.7% · 1.083.1% · 7.5
1.5 goals16.8% · 1.48.5% · 2.75
2.5 goals10% · 2.3514.9% · 1.57
3.5 goals5.4% · 4.3319.5% · 1.2

Both teams to score

Yes46.7%
No53.3%

Double chance

1X55.7%
X244.3%

Match result

Nova Iguaçu2.15
Draw3.3
Lagarto3.3

Both teams to score

Yes46.7% · 2
No53.3% · 1.75

1X

Chance55.7%
Odds1.33

X2

Chance44.3%
Odds1.67

Nova Iguaçu

Chance43.4%
Odds2.15

Draw

Chance28.3%
Odds3.3

Lagarto

Chance28.3%
Odds3.3

No half-time prices stored.

No corner prices stored.

Model comparison

Our pick: Nova Iguaçu at 2.15

Nova IguaçuLagarto
Recent form50%50%
Attack50%50%
Defence50%50%
Goals model50%50%
Overall61%39%

Nova Iguaçu vs Lagarto: prediction & preview

Brazil · Copa Do Brasil · Wed, 4 Mar 2026

Nova Iguaçu meet Lagarto in the Brazil, Copa Do Brasil on 4 March 2026 at 23:00 (Africa/Lagos). The recorded score is 1–1.

On the 1X2 market the shortest price is Nova Iguaçu at 2.15. Once the bookmaker margin is removed, that outcome carries about 43.4% of the implied chance, with the other two outcomes sharing the rest. A short price means the market rates that side more likely. It is not a certainty, and the margin means the three raw probabilities add up to more than 100% before they are scaled.

The 2.5-goal line is priced shorter on Under 2.5 (1.57, about 59.9% after the margin). Both teams to score is shorter on No at 1.75.

Season points-per-game rates were not stored on this fixture yet. The odds chart still shows how the 1X2, goals, and both-teams markets are priced.

Nova Iguaçu vs Lagarto FAQs

4 questions

What time is Nova Iguaçu vs Lagarto?

Kickoff is 23:00 on 4 March 2026, shown in Africa/Lagos.

Which outcome is shortest on Nova Iguaçu vs Lagarto?

Nova Iguaçu is the shortest 1X2 price at 2.15. The margin-adjusted share is about 43.4%.

What are the over and under 2.5 prices?

Over 2.5 is 2.35 and under 2.5 is 1.57.

Do both teams score on this match?

Both teams to score is priced at 2. That is a market price, not a forecast that both sides will score.

Nova Iguaçu vs Lagarto prediction, H2H and stats