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Novo Hamburgo vs Guarany de Bagé Prediction, H2H, Stats & Betting Tips

Brazil · Gaúcho - 1Sat, 31 Jan 2026

Novo Hamburgo

DLDDL

Sat, 31 Jan 202620:30

2 : 0

Full time

Guarany de Bagé

WLLDD

Pre-match win probability

41.9%Novo Hamburgo30%Draw28.1%Guarany de Bagé

Our prediction

Home or Draw · Novo Hamburgo

Novo Hamburgo vs Guarany de Bagé listed tip from the board.

Odds1.33
Confidence41.9%
ResultGraded
Pre-match model probabilityPick and odds as published before kick-off
  • Novo Hamburgo 41.9%
  • Draw 30%
  • Guarany de Bagé 28.1%

Season statistics

Gaúcho - 1 · highlighted side is stronger

Novo HamburgoGuarany de Bagé

Betting markets

Bookmaker prices with margin removed

Goal lineOverUnder
0.5 goals21.2% · 1.113.6% · 6.5
1.5 goals15.7% · 1.59.4% · 2.5
2.5 goals9.1% · 2.615.9% · 1.48
3.5 goals4.3% · 5.520.7% · 1.14

Both teams to score

Yes42.4%
No57.6%

Double chance

1X54.9%
X245.1%

Match result

Novo Hamburgo2.15
Draw3
Guarany de Bagé3.2

Both teams to score

Yes42.4% · 2.2
No57.6% · 1.62

1X

Chance54.9%
Odds1.33

X2

Chance45.1%
Odds1.62

Novo Hamburgo

Chance41.9%
Odds2.15

Draw

Chance30%
Odds3

Guarany de Bagé

Chance28.1%
Odds3.2

No half-time prices stored.

No corner prices stored.

Model comparison

Our pick: Home or Draw at 1.33

Novo HamburgoGuarany de Bagé
Recent form50%50%
Attack50%50%
Defence50%50%
Goals model50%50%
Overall60%40%

Novo Hamburgo vs Guarany de Bagé: prediction & preview

Brazil · Gaúcho - 1 · Sat, 31 Jan 2026

Novo Hamburgo meet Guarany de Bagé in the Brazil, Gaúcho - 1 on 31 January 2026 at 20:30 (Africa/Lagos). The recorded score is 2–0.

On the 1X2 market the shortest price is Novo Hamburgo at 2.15. Once the bookmaker margin is removed, that outcome carries about 41.9% of the implied chance, with the other two outcomes sharing the rest. A short price means the market rates that side more likely. It is not a certainty, and the margin means the three raw probabilities add up to more than 100% before they are scaled.

The 2.5-goal line is priced shorter on Under 2.5 (1.48, about 63.7% after the margin). Both teams to score is shorter on No at 1.62.

Season points-per-game rates were not stored on this fixture yet. The odds chart still shows how the 1X2, goals, and both-teams markets are priced.

Novo Hamburgo vs Guarany de Bagé FAQs

4 questions

What time is Novo Hamburgo vs Guarany de Bagé?

Kickoff is 20:30 on 31 January 2026, shown in Africa/Lagos.

Which outcome is shortest on Novo Hamburgo vs Guarany de Bagé?

Novo Hamburgo is the shortest 1X2 price at 2.15. The margin-adjusted share is about 41.9%.

What are the over and under 2.5 prices?

Over 2.5 is 2.6 and under 2.5 is 1.48.

Do both teams score on this match?

Both teams to score is priced at 2.2. That is a market price, not a forecast that both sides will score.

Novo Hamburgo vs Guarany de Bagé prediction, H2H and stats