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Nueva Chicago vs Almagro Prediction, H2H, Stats & Betting Tips

Argentina · Primera NacionalMon, 11 May 2026

Nueva Chicago

LDDDW

Mon, 11 May 202623:30

1 : 2

Live

Almagro

DLLLL

Pre-match win probability

49.7%Nueva Chicago31.5%Draw18.9%Almagro

Our prediction

Home or Draw · Nueva Chicago

Nueva Chicago vs Almagro listed tip from the board.

Odds1.18
Confidence49.7%
ResultGraded
Pre-match model probabilityPick and odds as published before kick-off
  • Nueva Chicago 49.7%
  • Draw 31.5%
  • Almagro 18.9%

Season statistics

Primera Nacional · highlighted side is stronger

Nueva ChicagoAlmagro

Betting markets

Bookmaker prices with margin removed

Goal lineOverUnder
0.5 goals20.7% · 1.144.3% · 5.5
1.5 goals14.5% · 1.6210.7% · 2.2
2.5 goals7.6% · 3.117.3% · 1.36
3.5 goals3.6% · 6.521.2% · 1.11

Both teams to score

Yes37.5%
No62.5%

Double chance

1X60.8%
X239.2%

Match result

Nueva Chicago1.9
Draw3
Almagro5

Both teams to score

Yes37.5% · 2.5
No62.5% · 1.5

1X

Chance60.8%
Odds1.18

X2

Chance39.2%
Odds1.83

Nueva Chicago

Chance49.7%
Odds1.9

Draw

Chance31.5%
Odds3

Almagro

Chance18.9%
Odds5

No half-time prices stored.

No corner prices stored.

Model comparison

Our pick: Home or Draw at 1.18

Nueva ChicagoAlmagro
Recent form50%50%
Attack50%50%
Defence50%50%
Goals model50%50%
Overall72%28%

Nueva Chicago vs Almagro: prediction & preview

Argentina · Primera Nacional · Mon, 11 May 2026

Nueva Chicago meet Almagro in the Argentina, Primera Nacional on 11 May 2026 at 23:30 (Africa/Lagos). The recorded score is 1–2.

On the 1X2 market the shortest price is Nueva Chicago at 1.9. Once the bookmaker margin is removed, that outcome carries about 49.7% of the implied chance, with the other two outcomes sharing the rest. A short price means the market rates that side more likely. It is not a certainty, and the margin means the three raw probabilities add up to more than 100% before they are scaled.

The 2.5-goal line is priced shorter on Under 2.5 (1.36, about 69.5% after the margin). Both teams to score is shorter on No at 1.5.

Season points-per-game rates were not stored on this fixture yet. The odds chart still shows how the 1X2, goals, and both-teams markets are priced.

Nueva Chicago vs Almagro FAQs

4 questions

What time is Nueva Chicago vs Almagro?

Kickoff is 23:30 on 11 May 2026, shown in Africa/Lagos.

Which outcome is shortest on Nueva Chicago vs Almagro?

Nueva Chicago is the shortest 1X2 price at 1.9. The margin-adjusted share is about 49.7%.

What are the over and under 2.5 prices?

Over 2.5 is 3.1 and under 2.5 is 1.36.

Do both teams score on this match?

Both teams to score is priced at 2.5. That is a market price, not a forecast that both sides will score.

Nueva Chicago vs Almagro prediction, H2H and stats