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Numancia vs Atlético Astorga Prediction, H2H, Stats & Betting Tips

Spain · Segunda División RFEF - Group 1Sun, 15 Mar 2026

Numancia

DWLWD

Sun, 15 Mar 202617:00

0 : 1

Full time

Atlético Astorga

WWWLW

Pre-match win probability

54.6%Numancia28.2%Draw17.2%Atlético Astorga

Our prediction

Away or Draw · Numancia

Numancia vs Atlético Astorga listed tip from the board.

Odds1.91
Confidence54.6%
ResultGraded
Pre-match model probabilityPick and odds as published before kick-off
  • Numancia 54.6%
  • Draw 28.2%
  • Atlético Astorga 17.2%

Season statistics

Segunda División RFEF - Group 1 · highlighted side is stronger

NumanciaAtlético Astorga

Betting markets

Bookmaker prices with margin removed

Goal lineOverUnder
2.5 goals39.1% · 2.3860.9% · 1.53

Double chance

1X63%
X237%

Match result

Numancia1.65
Draw3.2
Atlético Astorga5.25

No BTTS prices stored.

1X

Chance63%
Odds1.12

X2

Chance37%
Odds1.91

Numancia

Chance54.6%
Odds1.65

Draw

Chance28.2%
Odds3.2

Atlético Astorga

Chance17.2%
Odds5.25

No half-time prices stored.

No corner prices stored.

Model comparison

Our pick: Away or Draw at 1.91

NumanciaAtlético Astorga
Recent form50%50%
Attack50%50%
Defence50%50%
Goals model50%50%
Overall76%24%

Numancia vs Atlético Astorga: prediction & preview

Spain · Segunda División RFEF - Group 1 · Sun, 15 Mar 2026

Numancia meet Atlético Astorga in the Spain, Segunda División RFEF - Group 1 on 15 March 2026 at 17:00 (Africa/Lagos). The recorded score is 0–1.

On the 1X2 market the shortest price is Numancia at 1.65. Once the bookmaker margin is removed, that outcome carries about 54.6% of the implied chance, with the other two outcomes sharing the rest. A short price means the market rates that side more likely. It is not a certainty, and the margin means the three raw probabilities add up to more than 100% before they are scaled.

The 2.5-goal line is priced shorter on Under 2.5 (1.53, about 60.9% after the margin).

Season points-per-game rates were not stored on this fixture yet. The odds chart still shows how the 1X2, goals, and both-teams markets are priced.

Numancia vs Atlético Astorga FAQs

4 questions

What time is Numancia vs Atlético Astorga?

Kickoff is 17:00 on 15 March 2026, shown in Africa/Lagos.

Which outcome is shortest on Numancia vs Atlético Astorga?

Numancia is the shortest 1X2 price at 1.65. The margin-adjusted share is about 54.6%.

What are the over and under 2.5 prices?

Over 2.5 is 2.38 and under 2.5 is 1.53.

Do both teams score on this match?

A both-teams-to-score price is not stored for this match.

Numancia vs Atlético Astorga prediction, H2H and stats