Oliveirense vs Penafiel Prediction, H2H, Stats & Betting Tips

Portugal · Segunda LigaSun, 25 Jan 2026

Oliveirense

DLLWL

Sun, 25 Jan 202616:30

2 : 1

Full time

Penafiel

LLWLW

Pre-match win probability

39%Oliveirense28.8%Draw32.3%Penafiel

Our prediction

X2 · Oliveirense

Oliveirense vs Penafiel listed tip from the board.

Odds1.57
Confidence39%
ResultGraded
Pre-match model probabilityPick and odds as published before kick-off
  • Oliveirense 39%
  • Draw 28.8%
  • Penafiel 32.3%

Season statistics

Segunda Liga · highlighted side is stronger

OliveirensePenafiel

Betting markets

Bookmaker prices with margin removed

Goal lineOverUnder
0.5 goals22.3% · 1.062.5% · 9.5
1.5 goals18.1% · 1.36.9% · 3.4
2.5 goals11.5% · 2.0513.5% · 1.75
3.5 goals6.7% · 3.518.4% · 1.28

Both teams to score

Yes51.5%
No48.5%

Double chance

1X53.6%
X246.4%

Match result

Oliveirense2.4
Draw3.25
Penafiel2.9

Both teams to score

Yes51.5% · 1.8
No48.5% · 1.91

1X

Chance53.6%
Odds1.36

X2

Chance46.4%
Odds1.57

Oliveirense

Chance39%
Odds2.4

Draw

Chance28.8%
Odds3.25

Penafiel

Chance32.3%
Odds2.9

No half-time prices stored.

No corner prices stored.

Model comparison

Our pick: X2 at 1.57

OliveirensePenafiel
Recent form50%50%
Attack50%50%
Defence50%50%
Goals model50%50%
Overall55%45%

Oliveirense vs Penafiel: prediction & preview

Portugal · Segunda Liga · Sun, 25 Jan 2026

Oliveirense meet Penafiel in the Portugal, Segunda Liga on 25 January 2026 at 16:30 (Africa/Lagos). The recorded score is 2–1.

On the 1X2 market the shortest price is Oliveirense at 2.4. Once the bookmaker margin is removed, that outcome carries about 39% of the implied chance, with the other two outcomes sharing the rest. A short price means the market rates that side more likely. It is not a certainty, and the margin means the three raw probabilities add up to more than 100% before they are scaled.

The 2.5-goal line is priced shorter on Under 2.5 (1.75, about 53.9% after the margin). Both teams to score is shorter on Yes at 1.8.

Season points-per-game rates were not stored on this fixture yet. The odds chart still shows how the 1X2, goals, and both-teams markets are priced.

Oliveirense vs Penafiel FAQs

4 questions

What time is Oliveirense vs Penafiel?

Kickoff is 16:30 on 25 January 2026, shown in Africa/Lagos.

Which outcome is shortest on Oliveirense vs Penafiel?

Oliveirense is the shortest 1X2 price at 2.4. The margin-adjusted share is about 39%.

What are the over and under 2.5 prices?

Over 2.5 is 2.05 and under 2.5 is 1.75.

Do both teams score on this match?

Both teams to score is priced at 1.8. That is a market price, not a forecast that both sides will score.

Oliveirense vs Penafiel prediction, H2H and stats