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Orange County SC vs Louisville City Prediction, H2H, Stats & Betting Tips

USA · USL ChampionshipSun, 16 Aug 2026

Orange County SC

Sun, 16 Aug 202603:00

2 : 3

Full time

Louisville City

Pre-match win probability

26.8%Orange County SC25.3%Draw47.9%Louisville City

Our prediction

Louisville City

Louisville City is the shortest 1X2 price in the stored market.

Odds1.85
Confidence47.9%
ResultGraded
Pre-match model probabilityPick and odds as published before kick-off
  • Orange County SC 26.8%
  • Draw 25.3%
  • Louisville City 47.9%

Season statistics

USL Championship · highlighted side is stronger

Orange County SCLouisville City

Betting markets

Bookmaker prices with margin removed

Goal lineOverUnder
0.5 goals22.5% · 1.042.6% · 9
1.5 goals19.2% · 1.225.8% · 4
2.5 goals13.4% · 1.7511.4% · 2.05
3.5 goals8.5% · 2.7516.7% · 1.4

Both teams to score

Yes55.7%
No44.3%

Double chance

1X40%
X260%

Match result

Orange County SC3.3
Draw3.5
Louisville City1.85

Both teams to score

Yes55.7% · 1.67
No44.3% · 2.1

1X

Chance40%
Odds1.83

X2

Chance60%
Odds1.22

Orange County SC

Chance26.8%
Odds3.3

Draw

Chance25.3%
Odds3.5

Louisville City

Chance47.9%
Odds1.85

No half-time prices stored.

No corner prices stored.

Model comparison

Our pick: Louisville City at 1.85

Orange County SCLouisville City
Recent form50%50%
Attack50%50%
Defence50%50%
Goals model50%50%
Overall36%64%

Orange County SC vs Louisville City: prediction & preview

USA · USL Championship · Sun, 16 Aug 2026

Orange County SC meet Louisville City in the USA, USL Championship on 16 August 2026 at 03:00 (Africa/Lagos). The recorded score is 2–3.

On the 1X2 market the shortest price is Louisville City at 1.85. Once the bookmaker margin is removed, that outcome carries about 47.9% of the implied chance, with the other two outcomes sharing the rest. A short price means the market rates that side more likely. It is not a certainty, and the margin means the three raw probabilities add up to more than 100% before they are scaled.

The 2.5-goal line is priced shorter on Over 2.5 (1.75, about 53.9% after the margin). Both teams to score is shorter on Yes at 1.67.

Season points-per-game rates were not stored on this fixture yet. The odds chart still shows how the 1X2, goals, and both-teams markets are priced.

Orange County SC vs Louisville City FAQs

4 questions

What time is Orange County SC vs Louisville City?

Kickoff is 03:00 on 16 August 2026, shown in Africa/Lagos.

Which outcome is shortest on Orange County SC vs Louisville City?

Louisville City is the shortest 1X2 price at 1.85. The margin-adjusted share is about 47.9%.

What are the over and under 2.5 prices?

Over 2.5 is 1.75 and under 2.5 is 2.05.

Do both teams score on this match?

Both teams to score is priced at 1.67. That is a market price, not a forecast that both sides will score.

Orange County SC vs Louisville City prediction, H2H and stats