Orlando City SC vs Philadelphia Union Prediction, H2H, Stats & Betting Tips

Orlando City SC

LWWLW

Thu, 14 May 202600:30

4 : 3

Full time

Philadelphia Union

LDLDD

Pre-match win probability

34.6%Orlando City SC25.7%Draw39.7%Philadelphia Union

Our prediction

Home or Draw · Orlando City SC

Orlando City SC vs Philadelphia Union listed tip from the board.

Odds1.53
Confidence39.7%
ResultGraded
Pre-match model probabilityPick and odds as published before kick-off
  • Orlando City SC 34.6%
  • Draw 25.7%
  • Philadelphia Union 39.7%

Season statistics

Major League Soccer · highlighted side is stronger

Orlando City SCPhiladelphia Union

Betting markets

Bookmaker prices with margin removed

Goal lineOverUnder
0.5 goals22.9% · 1.031.6% · 15
1.5 goals20% · 1.185.2% · 4.5
2.5 goals14.3% · 1.6510.7% · 2.2
3.5 goals9.4% · 2.515.7% · 1.5

Both teams to score

Yes60.9%
No39.1%

Double chance

1X47.8%
X252.2%

Match result

Orlando City SC2.75
Draw3.7
Philadelphia Union2.4

Both teams to score

Yes60.9% · 1.53
No39.1% · 2.38

1X

Chance47.8%
Odds1.53

X2

Chance52.2%
Odds1.4

Orlando City SC

Chance34.6%
Odds2.75

Draw

Chance25.7%
Odds3.7

Philadelphia Union

Chance39.7%
Odds2.4

No half-time prices stored.

No corner prices stored.

Model comparison

Our pick: Home or Draw at 1.53

Orlando City SCPhiladelphia Union
Recent form50%50%
Attack50%50%
Defence50%50%
Goals model50%50%
Overall47%53%

Orlando City SC vs Philadelphia Union: prediction & preview

USA · Major League Soccer · Thu, 14 May 2026

Orlando City SC meet Philadelphia Union in the USA, Major League Soccer on 14 May 2026 at 00:30 (Africa/Lagos). The recorded score is 4–3.

On the 1X2 market the shortest price is Philadelphia Union at 2.4. Once the bookmaker margin is removed, that outcome carries about 39.7% of the implied chance, with the other two outcomes sharing the rest. A short price means the market rates that side more likely. It is not a certainty, and the margin means the three raw probabilities add up to more than 100% before they are scaled.

The 2.5-goal line is priced shorter on Over 2.5 (1.65, about 57.1% after the margin). Both teams to score is shorter on Yes at 1.53.

Season points-per-game rates were not stored on this fixture yet. The odds chart still shows how the 1X2, goals, and both-teams markets are priced.

Orlando City SC vs Philadelphia Union FAQs

4 questions

What time is Orlando City SC vs Philadelphia Union?

Kickoff is 00:30 on 14 May 2026, shown in Africa/Lagos.

Which outcome is shortest on Orlando City SC vs Philadelphia Union?

Philadelphia Union is the shortest 1X2 price at 2.4. The margin-adjusted share is about 39.7%.

What are the over and under 2.5 prices?

Over 2.5 is 1.65 and under 2.5 is 2.2.

Do both teams score on this match?

Both teams to score is priced at 1.53. That is a market price, not a forecast that both sides will score.

Orlando City SC vs Philadelphia Union prediction, H2H and stats