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Orsomarso vs Independiente Medellin Prediction, H2H, Stats & Betting Tips

Colombia · Copa ColombiaSat, 16 May 2026

Orsomarso

Sat, 16 May 202602:00

1 : 1

Full time

Independiente Medellin

Pre-match win probability

35.5%Orsomarso27.3%Draw37.2%Independiente Medellin

Our prediction

Independiente Medellin

Independiente Medellin is the shortest 1X2 price in the stored market.

Odds2.5
Confidence37.2%
ResultGraded
Pre-match model probabilityPick and odds as published before kick-off
  • Orsomarso 35.5%
  • Draw 27.3%
  • Independiente Medellin 37.2%

Season statistics

Copa Colombia · highlighted side is stronger

OrsomarsoIndependiente Medellin

Betting markets

Bookmaker prices with margin removed

Goal lineOverUnder
0.5 goals22.3% · 1.062.4% · 10
1.5 goals18.2% · 1.37% · 3.4
2.5 goals11.8% · 213.1% · 1.8
3.5 goals6.8% · 3.518.5% · 1.28

Both teams to score

Yes51.5%
No48.5%

Double chance

1X49%
X251%

Match result

Orsomarso2.62
Draw3.4
Independiente Medellin2.5

Both teams to score

Yes51.5% · 1.8
No48.5% · 1.91

1X

Chance49%
Odds1.5

X2

Chance51%
Odds1.44

Orsomarso

Chance35.5%
Odds2.62

Draw

Chance27.3%
Odds3.4

Independiente Medellin

Chance37.2%
Odds2.5

No half-time prices stored.

No corner prices stored.

Model comparison

Our pick: Independiente Medellin at 2.5

OrsomarsoIndependiente Medellin
Recent form50%50%
Attack50%50%
Defence50%50%
Goals model50%50%
Overall49%51%

Orsomarso vs Independiente Medellin: prediction & preview

Colombia · Copa Colombia · Sat, 16 May 2026

Orsomarso meet Independiente Medellin in the Colombia, Copa Colombia on 16 May 2026 at 02:00 (Africa/Lagos). The recorded score is 1–1.

On the 1X2 market the shortest price is Independiente Medellin at 2.5. Once the bookmaker margin is removed, that outcome carries about 37.2% of the implied chance, with the other two outcomes sharing the rest. A short price means the market rates that side more likely. It is not a certainty, and the margin means the three raw probabilities add up to more than 100% before they are scaled.

The 2.5-goal line is priced shorter on Under 2.5 (1.8, about 52.6% after the margin). Both teams to score is shorter on Yes at 1.8.

Season points-per-game rates were not stored on this fixture yet. The odds chart still shows how the 1X2, goals, and both-teams markets are priced.

Orsomarso vs Independiente Medellin FAQs

4 questions

What time is Orsomarso vs Independiente Medellin?

Kickoff is 02:00 on 16 May 2026, shown in Africa/Lagos.

Which outcome is shortest on Orsomarso vs Independiente Medellin?

Independiente Medellin is the shortest 1X2 price at 2.5. The margin-adjusted share is about 37.2%.

What are the over and under 2.5 prices?

Over 2.5 is 2 and under 2.5 is 1.8.

Do both teams score on this match?

Both teams to score is priced at 1.8. That is a market price, not a forecast that both sides will score.

Orsomarso vs Independiente Medellin prediction, H2H and stats