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Os Marialvas vs Mortágua Prediction, H2H, Stats & Betting Tips

Portugal · Campeonato de Portugal Prio - Group CSun, 7 Dec 2025

Os Marialvas

WWDLW

Sun, 7 Dec 202516:00

0 : 1

Full time

Mortágua

WDLLW

Pre-match win probability

41.9%Os Marialvas30%Draw28.1%Mortágua

Our prediction

Os Marialvas

Os Marialvas is the shortest 1X2 price in the stored market.

Odds2.15
Confidence41.9%
ResultGraded
Pre-match model probabilityPick and odds as published before kick-off
  • Os Marialvas 41.9%
  • Draw 30%
  • Mortágua 28.1%

Season statistics

Campeonato de Portugal Prio - Group C · 10 matches each · highlighted side is stronger

Os MarialvasMortágua
Goals scored (avg)
1.61.3
Goals conceded (avg)Lower is better
0.50.9

Recent form

Last matches · newest first

Os Marialvas6W 2D 2L in last 10
  • 25 OctFazendense1 – 2Os MarialvasW
  • 16 OctChaves2 – 1Os MarialvasL
  • 11 OctOs Marialvas0 – 0SertanenseD
  • 20 SeptOvarense0 – 1Os MarialvasW
  • 13 SeptNazarenos0 – 3Os MarialvasW
Mortágua5W 2D 3L in last 10
  • 25 OctNaval 18930 – 2MortáguaW
  • 11 OctMortágua0 – 1Benfica Castelo BrancoL
  • 20 SeptMortágua0 – 2LeçaL
  • 13 SeptUD da Serra1 – 1MortáguaD
  • 6 SeptMortágua2 – 1FazendenseW
H2H
Head to headOs Marialvas 1W · 3D · Mortágua 0W · 1 goals a game
  • 4 AprMortágua0 – 2Os Marialvas
  • 21 SeptMortágua0 – 0Os Marialvas
  • 2 FebOs Marialvas0 – 0Mortágua
  • 15 SeptMortágua1 – 1Os Marialvas

Betting markets

Bookmaker prices with margin removed

Goal lineOverUnder
2.5 goals40.1% · 2.3559.9% · 1.57

Double chance

1X55.1%
X244.9%

Match result

Os Marialvas2.15
Draw3
Mortágua3.2

No BTTS prices stored.

1X

Chance55.1%
Odds1.28

X2

Chance44.9%
Odds1.57

Os Marialvas

Chance41.9%
Odds2.15

Draw

Chance30%
Odds3

Mortágua

Chance28.1%
Odds3.2

No half-time prices stored.

No corner prices stored.

Model comparison

Our pick: Os Marialvas at 2.15

Os MarialvasMortágua
Recent form54%46%
Attack55%45%
Defence54%46%
Goals model55%45%
Head-to-head63%37%
Overall60%40%

Trends

Trend · Campeonato de Portugal Prio - Group C

Os Marialvas scored 1.6 per game in the last 10.

Trend · Campeonato de Portugal Prio - Group C

Os Marialvas conceded 0.5 per game in the last 10.

Trend · Campeonato de Portugal Prio - Group C

Failed to score in 2 of those 10.

Trend · Campeonato de Portugal Prio - Group C

Kept a clean sheet in 7 of those 10.

Os Marialvas vs Mortágua: prediction & preview

Portugal · Campeonato de Portugal Prio - Group C · Sun, 7 Dec 2025

Os Marialvas meet Mortágua in the Portugal, Campeonato de Portugal Prio - Group C on 7 December 2025 at 16:00 (Africa/Lagos). The recorded score is 0–1.

On the 1X2 market the shortest price is Os Marialvas at 2.15. Once the bookmaker margin is removed, that outcome carries about 41.9% of the implied chance, with the other two outcomes sharing the rest. A short price means the market rates that side more likely. It is not a certainty, and the margin means the three raw probabilities add up to more than 100% before they are scaled.

The 2.5-goal line is priced shorter on Under 2.5 (1.57, about 59.9% after the margin).

Season points-per-game rates were not stored on this fixture yet. The odds chart still shows how the 1X2, goals, and both-teams markets are priced.

Os Marialvas vs Mortágua FAQs

4 questions

What time is Os Marialvas vs Mortágua?

Kickoff is 16:00 on 7 December 2025, shown in Africa/Lagos.

Which outcome is shortest on Os Marialvas vs Mortágua?

Os Marialvas is the shortest 1X2 price at 2.15. The margin-adjusted share is about 41.9%.

What are the over and under 2.5 prices?

Over 2.5 is 2.35 and under 2.5 is 1.57.

Do both teams score on this match?

A both-teams-to-score price is not stored for this match.