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Osasuna II vs Mérida AD Prediction, H2H, Stats & Betting Tips

Spain · Primera División RFEF - Group 1Sat, 23 May 2026

Osasuna II

DWWWL

Sat, 23 May 202617:30

1 : 2

Full time

Mérida AD

LWWWD

Pre-match win probability

50%Osasuna II25.7%Draw24.3%Mérida AD

Our prediction

Home · Osasuna II

Osasuna II vs Mérida AD listed tip from the board.

Odds1.8
Confidence50%
ResultGraded
Pre-match model probabilityPick and odds as published before kick-off
  • Osasuna II 50%
  • Draw 25.7%
  • Mérida AD 24.3%

Season statistics

Primera División RFEF - Group 1 · highlighted side is stronger

Osasuna IIMérida AD
Goals scored (avg)
–1.7
Goals conceded (avg)Lower is better
–1.3

Recent form

Last matches · newest first

Osasuna II0W 0D 0L in last 0
    Mérida AD5W 1D 4L in last 10
    • 25 OctMérida AD0 – 0CD CoriaD
    • 18 OctArenas Getxo0 – 4Mérida ADW
    • 11 OctPontevedra1 – 2Mérida ADW
    • 4 OctMérida AD2 – 0CacereñoW
    • 27 SeptMérida AD3 – 5UD LogroñésL
    H2H
    Head to headOsasuna II 0W · 0D · Mérida AD 1W · 1 goals a game
    • 11 JanMérida AD1 – 0Osasuna II

    Betting markets

    Bookmaker prices with margin removed

    Goal lineOverUnder
    0.5 goals22.4% · 1.052.8% · 8.5
    1.5 goals18.4% · 1.286.7% · 3.5
    2.5 goals12.4% · 1.912.4% · 1.9
    3.5 goals7.2% · 3.2517.7% · 1.33

    Both teams to score

    Yes51.5%
    No48.5%

    Double chance

    1X58.1%
    X241.9%

    Match result

    Osasuna II1.8
    Draw3.5
    Mérida AD3.7

    Both teams to score

    Yes51.5% · 1.8
    No48.5% · 1.91

    1X

    Chance58.1%
    Odds1.25

    X2

    Chance41.9%
    Odds1.73

    Osasuna II

    Chance50%
    Odds1.8

    Draw

    Chance25.7%
    Odds3.5

    Mérida AD

    Chance24.3%
    Odds3.7

    No half-time prices stored.

    No corner prices stored.

    Model comparison

    Our pick: Home at 1.8

    Osasuna IIMérida AD
    Recent form6%94%
    Attack37%63%
    Defence37%63%
    Goals model37%63%
    Head-to-head0%100%
    Overall67%33%

    Trends

    Trend · Primera División RFEF - Group 1

    Mérida AD scored 1.7 per game in the last 10.

    Trend · Primera División RFEF - Group 1

    Mérida AD conceded 1.3 per game in the last 10.

    Trend · Primera División RFEF - Group 1

    Failed to score in 3 of those 10.

    Trend · Primera División RFEF - Group 1

    Kept a clean sheet in 4 of those 10.

    Osasuna II vs Mérida AD: prediction & preview

    Spain · Primera División RFEF - Group 1 · Sat, 23 May 2026

    Osasuna II meet Mérida AD in the Spain, Primera División RFEF - Group 1 on 23 May 2026 at 17:30 (Africa/Lagos). The recorded score is 1–2.

    On the 1X2 market the shortest price is Osasuna II at 1.8. Once the bookmaker margin is removed, that outcome carries about 50% of the implied chance, with the other two outcomes sharing the rest. A short price means the market rates that side more likely. It is not a certainty, and the margin means the three raw probabilities add up to more than 100% before they are scaled.

    The 2.5-goal line is priced shorter on Over 2.5 (1.9, about 50% after the margin). Both teams to score is shorter on Yes at 1.8.

    Season points-per-game rates were not stored on this fixture yet. The odds chart still shows how the 1X2, goals, and both-teams markets are priced.

    Osasuna II vs Mérida AD FAQs

    4 questions

    What time is Osasuna II vs Mérida AD?

    Kickoff is 17:30 on 23 May 2026, shown in Africa/Lagos.

    Which outcome is shortest on Osasuna II vs Mérida AD?

    Osasuna II is the shortest 1X2 price at 1.8. The margin-adjusted share is about 50%.

    What are the over and under 2.5 prices?

    Over 2.5 is 1.9 and under 2.5 is 1.9.

    Do both teams score on this match?

    Both teams to score is priced at 1.8. That is a market price, not a forecast that both sides will score.