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Osasuna vs Atletico Madrid Prediction, H2H, Stats & Betting Tips

Spain · La LigaTue, 12 May 2026

Osasuna

LLWLD

Tue, 12 May 202620:30

1 : 2

Full time

Atletico Madrid

LLWDW

Pre-match win probability

37.3%Osasuna26.4%Draw36.3%Atletico Madrid

Our prediction

Away or Draw · Osasuna

Osasuna vs Atletico Madrid listed tip from the board.

Odds1.5
Confidence37.3%
ResultGraded
Pre-match model probabilityPick and odds as published before kick-off
  • Osasuna 37.3%
  • Draw 26.4%
  • Atletico Madrid 36.3%

Season statistics

La Liga · highlighted side is stronger

OsasunaAtletico Madrid

Betting markets

Bookmaker prices with margin removed

Goal lineOverUnder
0.5 goals22.9% · 1.041.8% · 13
1.5 goals19.5% · 1.225.5% · 4.33
2.5 goals13.8% · 1.7311.3% · 2.1
3.5 goals8.7% · 2.7516.5% · 1.44

Both teams to score

Yes57.6%
No42.4%

Double chance

1X51%
X249%

Match result

Osasuna2.55
Draw3.6
Atletico Madrid2.62

Both teams to score

Yes57.6% · 1.62
No42.4% · 2.2

1X

Chance51%
Odds1.44

X2

Chance49%
Odds1.5

Osasuna

Chance37.3%
Odds2.55

Draw

Chance26.4%
Odds3.6

Atletico Madrid

Chance36.3%
Odds2.62

No half-time prices stored.

No corner prices stored.

Model comparison

Our pick: Away or Draw at 1.5

OsasunaAtletico Madrid
Recent form50%50%
Attack50%50%
Defence50%50%
Goals model50%50%
Overall51%49%

Osasuna vs Atletico Madrid: prediction & preview

Spain · La Liga · Tue, 12 May 2026

Osasuna meet Atletico Madrid in the Spain, La Liga on 12 May 2026 at 20:30 (Africa/Lagos). The recorded score is 1–2.

On the 1X2 market the shortest price is Osasuna at 2.55. Once the bookmaker margin is removed, that outcome carries about 37.3% of the implied chance, with the other two outcomes sharing the rest. A short price means the market rates that side more likely. It is not a certainty, and the margin means the three raw probabilities add up to more than 100% before they are scaled.

The 2.5-goal line is priced shorter on Over 2.5 (1.73, about 54.8% after the margin). Both teams to score is shorter on Yes at 1.62.

Season points-per-game rates were not stored on this fixture yet. The odds chart still shows how the 1X2, goals, and both-teams markets are priced.

Osasuna vs Atletico Madrid FAQs

4 questions

What time is Osasuna vs Atletico Madrid?

Kickoff is 20:30 on 12 May 2026, shown in Africa/Lagos.

Which outcome is shortest on Osasuna vs Atletico Madrid?

Osasuna is the shortest 1X2 price at 2.55. The margin-adjusted share is about 37.3%.

What are the over and under 2.5 prices?

Over 2.5 is 1.73 and under 2.5 is 2.1.

Do both teams score on this match?

Both teams to score is priced at 1.62. That is a market price, not a forecast that both sides will score.

Osasuna vs Atletico Madrid prediction, H2H and stats