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Ourense CF vs Mérida AD Prediction, H2H, Stats & Betting Tips

Spain · Primera División RFEF - Group 1Sat, 14 Feb 2026

Ourense CF

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Sat, 14 Feb 202616:15

3 : 1

Full time

Mérida AD

WWDDW

Pre-match win probability

41%Ourense CF31.3%Draw27.7%Mérida AD

Our prediction

Away · Ourense CF

Ourense CF vs Mérida AD listed tip from the board.

Odds3.25
Confidence41%
ResultGraded
Pre-match model probabilityPick and odds as published before kick-off
  • Ourense CF 41%
  • Draw 31.3%
  • Mérida AD 27.7%

Season statistics

Primera División RFEF - Group 1 · highlighted side is stronger

Ourense CFMérida AD

Betting markets

Bookmaker prices with margin removed

Goal lineOverUnder
0.5 goals20.7% · 1.124.2% · 5.5
1.5 goals14.8% · 1.5710.3% · 2.25
2.5 goals8.9% · 2.6216.1% · 1.44
3.5 goals4.6% · 520.4% · 1.14

Both teams to score

Yes37.5%
No62.5%

Double chance

1X55.4%
X244.6%

Match result

Ourense CF2.2
Draw2.88
Mérida AD3.25

Both teams to score

Yes37.5% · 2.5
No62.5% · 1.5

1X

Chance55.4%
Odds1.25

X2

Chance44.6%
Odds1.55

Ourense CF

Chance41%
Odds2.2

Draw

Chance31.3%
Odds2.88

Mérida AD

Chance27.7%
Odds3.25

No half-time prices stored.

No corner prices stored.

Model comparison

Our pick: Away at 3.25

Ourense CFMérida AD
Recent form50%50%
Attack50%50%
Defence50%50%
Goals model50%50%
Overall60%40%

Ourense CF vs Mérida AD: prediction & preview

Spain · Primera División RFEF - Group 1 · Sat, 14 Feb 2026

Ourense CF meet Mérida AD in the Spain, Primera División RFEF - Group 1 on 14 February 2026 at 16:15 (Africa/Lagos). The recorded score is 3–1.

On the 1X2 market the shortest price is Ourense CF at 2.2. Once the bookmaker margin is removed, that outcome carries about 41% of the implied chance, with the other two outcomes sharing the rest. A short price means the market rates that side more likely. It is not a certainty, and the margin means the three raw probabilities add up to more than 100% before they are scaled.

The 2.5-goal line is priced shorter on Under 2.5 (1.44, about 64.5% after the margin). Both teams to score is shorter on No at 1.5.

Season points-per-game rates were not stored on this fixture yet. The odds chart still shows how the 1X2, goals, and both-teams markets are priced.

Ourense CF vs Mérida AD FAQs

4 questions

What time is Ourense CF vs Mérida AD?

Kickoff is 16:15 on 14 February 2026, shown in Africa/Lagos.

Which outcome is shortest on Ourense CF vs Mérida AD?

Ourense CF is the shortest 1X2 price at 2.2. The margin-adjusted share is about 41%.

What are the over and under 2.5 prices?

Over 2.5 is 2.62 and under 2.5 is 1.44.

Do both teams score on this match?

Both teams to score is priced at 2.5. That is a market price, not a forecast that both sides will score.

Ourense CF vs Mérida AD prediction, H2H and stats