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Oxford City vs Merthyr Town Prediction, H2H, Stats & Betting Tips

England · National League - NorthFri, 26 Dec 2025

Oxford City

DWLLD

Fri, 26 Dec 202514:00

1 : 3

Full time

Merthyr Town

WLWWW

Pre-match win probability

35%Oxford City26.2%Draw38.8%Merthyr Town

Our prediction

Away · Oxford City

Oxford City vs Merthyr Town listed tip from the board.

Odds2.3
Confidence38.8%
ResultGraded
Pre-match model probabilityPick and odds as published before kick-off
  • Oxford City 35%
  • Draw 26.2%
  • Merthyr Town 38.8%

Season statistics

National League - North · highlighted side is stronger

Oxford CityMerthyr Town

Betting markets

Bookmaker prices with margin removed

Goal lineOverUnder
0.5 goals22.8% · 1.022.2% · 10.5
1.5 goals20.4% · 1.144.7% · 5
2.5 goals15.2% · 1.539.8% · 2.38
3.5 goals10.6% · 2.214.4% · 1.62

Both teams to score

Yes62.5%
No37.5%

Double chance

1X49%
X251%

Match result

Oxford City2.55
Draw3.4
Merthyr Town2.3

Both teams to score

Yes62.5% · 1.5
No37.5% · 2.5

1X

Chance49%
Odds1.5

X2

Chance51%
Odds1.44

Oxford City

Chance35%
Odds2.55

Draw

Chance26.2%
Odds3.4

Merthyr Town

Chance38.8%
Odds2.3

No half-time prices stored.

No corner prices stored.

Model comparison

Our pick: Away at 2.3

Oxford CityMerthyr Town
Recent form50%50%
Attack50%50%
Defence50%50%
Goals model50%50%
Overall47%53%

Oxford City vs Merthyr Town: prediction & preview

England · National League - North · Fri, 26 Dec 2025

Oxford City meet Merthyr Town in the England, National League - North on 26 December 2025 at 14:00 (Africa/Lagos). The recorded score is 1–3.

On the 1X2 market the shortest price is Merthyr Town at 2.3. Once the bookmaker margin is removed, that outcome carries about 38.8% of the implied chance, with the other two outcomes sharing the rest. A short price means the market rates that side more likely. It is not a certainty, and the margin means the three raw probabilities add up to more than 100% before they are scaled.

The 2.5-goal line is priced shorter on Over 2.5 (1.53, about 60.9% after the margin). Both teams to score is shorter on Yes at 1.5.

Season points-per-game rates were not stored on this fixture yet. The odds chart still shows how the 1X2, goals, and both-teams markets are priced.

Oxford City vs Merthyr Town FAQs

4 questions

What time is Oxford City vs Merthyr Town?

Kickoff is 14:00 on 26 December 2025, shown in Africa/Lagos.

Which outcome is shortest on Oxford City vs Merthyr Town?

Merthyr Town is the shortest 1X2 price at 2.3. The margin-adjusted share is about 38.8%.

What are the over and under 2.5 prices?

Over 2.5 is 1.53 and under 2.5 is 2.38.

Do both teams score on this match?

Both teams to score is priced at 1.5. That is a market price, not a forecast that both sides will score.

Oxford City vs Merthyr Town prediction, H2H and stats