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Pachuca vs Leon Prediction, H2H, Stats & Betting Tips

Mexico · Liga MXWed, 14 Jan 2026

Pachuca

4th in table · 31 pts

LDLLW

Wed, 14 Jan 202602:06

2 : 1

Full time

Leon

10th in table · 22 pts

WDLWD

Pre-match win probability

52.2%Pachuca26.5%Draw21.2%Leon

Our prediction

Away · Pachuca

Pachuca vs Leon listed tip from the board.

Odds4.5
Confidence52.2%
ResultGraded
Pre-match model probabilityPick and odds as published before kick-off
  • Pachuca 52.2%
  • Draw 26.5%
  • Leon 21.2%

Season statistics

Liga MX · 10 matches each · highlighted side is stronger

PachucaLeon
Goals scored (avg)
1.61.4
Goals conceded (avg)Lower is better
1.31.4
Wins
97
Played
1717

Recent form

Last matches · newest first

Pachuca3W 4D 3L in last 10
  • 26 OctClub America1 – 2CF PachucaW
  • 22 OctCF Pachuca1 – 2Cruz AzulL
  • 19 OctMonterrey2 – 1CF PachucaL
  • 12 OctCF Pachuca3 – 3NecaxaD
  • 27 SeptSantos Laguna1 – 0CF PachucaL
Leon4W 3D 3L in last 10
  • 25 OctLeon1 – 1TolucaD
  • 21 OctTigres UANL0 – 2LeonW
  • 18 OctLeon3 – 5Club AmericaL
  • 10 OctPuebla1 – 1LeonD
  • 28 SeptLeon2 – 1FC JuarezW
H2H
Head to headNo previous meetings found between these sides.

Betting markets

Bookmaker prices with margin removed

Goal lineOverUnder
0.5 goals22.5% · 1.052.1% · 11
1.5 goals18.9% · 1.256.3% · 3.75
2.5 goals13.1% · 1.811.8% · 2
3.5 goals7.9% · 317.4% · 1.36

Both teams to score

Yes54.7%
No45.3%

Double chance

1X61.8%
X238.2%

Match result

Pachuca1.83
Draw3.6
Leon4.5

Both teams to score

Yes54.7% · 1.7
No45.3% · 2.05

1X

Chance61.8%
Odds1.18

X2

Chance38.2%
Odds1.91

Pachuca

Chance52.2%
Odds1.83

Draw

Chance26.5%
Odds3.6

Leon

Chance21.2%
Odds4.5

No half-time prices stored.

No corner prices stored.

Model comparison

Our pick: Away at 4.5

PachucaLeon
Recent form46%54%
Attack53%47%
Defence52%48%
Goals model53%47%
Overall71%29%

Trends

Trend · Liga MX

Pachuca scored 1.6 per game in the last 10.

Trend · Liga MX

Pachuca conceded 1.3 per game in the last 10.

Trend · Liga MX

Failed to score in 1 of those 10.

Trend · Liga MX

Kept a clean sheet in 2 of those 10.

Pachuca vs Leon: prediction & preview

Mexico · Liga MX · Wed, 14 Jan 2026

Pachuca meet Leon in the Mexico, Liga MX on 14 January 2026 at 02:06 (Africa/Lagos). The recorded score is 2–1.

On the 1X2 market the shortest price is Pachuca at 1.83. Once the bookmaker margin is removed, that outcome carries about 52.2% of the implied chance, with the other two outcomes sharing the rest. A short price means the market rates that side more likely. It is not a certainty, and the margin means the three raw probabilities add up to more than 100% before they are scaled.

The 2.5-goal line is priced shorter on Over 2.5 (1.8, about 52.6% after the margin). Both teams to score is shorter on Yes at 1.7.

Season points-per-game rates were not stored on this fixture yet. The odds chart still shows how the 1X2, goals, and both-teams markets are priced.

Pachuca vs Leon FAQs

4 questions

What time is Pachuca vs Leon?

Kickoff is 02:06 on 14 January 2026, shown in Africa/Lagos.

Which outcome is shortest on Pachuca vs Leon?

Pachuca is the shortest 1X2 price at 1.83. The margin-adjusted share is about 52.2%.

What are the over and under 2.5 prices?

Over 2.5 is 1.8 and under 2.5 is 2.

Do both teams score on this match?

Both teams to score is priced at 1.7. That is a market price, not a forecast that both sides will score.