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Pachuca vs Puebla Prediction, H2H, Stats & Betting Tips

Mexico · Liga MXSun, 8 Mar 2026

Pachuca

4th in table · 31 pts

LDLLW

Sun, 8 Mar 202602:06

2 : 1

Full time

Puebla

17th in table · 13 pts

LDDLL

Pre-match win probability

51.2%Pachuca26.3%Draw22.5%Puebla

Our prediction

Home · Pachuca

Pachuca vs Puebla listed tip from the board.

Odds1.85
Confidence51.2%
ResultGraded
Pre-match model probabilityPick and odds as published before kick-off
  • Pachuca 51.2%
  • Draw 26.3%
  • Puebla 22.5%

Season statistics

Liga MX · 10 matches each · highlighted side is stronger

PachucaPuebla
Goals scored (avg)
1.61
Goals conceded (avg)Lower is better
1.31.6
Wins
93
Played
1717

Recent form

Last matches · newest first

Pachuca3W 4D 3L in last 10
  • 26 OctClub America1 – 2CF PachucaW
  • 22 OctCF Pachuca1 – 2Cruz AzulL
  • 19 OctMonterrey2 – 1CF PachucaL
  • 12 OctCF Pachuca3 – 3NecaxaD
  • 27 SeptSantos Laguna1 – 0CF PachucaL
Puebla2W 3D 5L in last 10
  • 26 OctAtlas4 – 3PueblaL
  • 22 OctPuebla1 – 4MonterreyL
  • 17 OctClub Tijuana0 – 0PueblaD
  • 10 OctPuebla1 – 1LeonD
  • 27 SeptTigres UANL1 – 0PueblaL
H2H
Head to headPachuca 5W · 3D · Puebla 1W · 4.2 goals a game
  • 18 AugCF Pachuca2 – 3Puebla
  • 4 JulCF Pachuca3 – 1Puebla
  • 24 SeptPuebla2 – 2CF Pachuca
  • 27 FebCF Pachuca2 – 1Puebla
  • 21 SeptPuebla2 – 3CF Pachuca
  • 21 FebPuebla1 – 4CF Pachuca

Betting markets

Bookmaker prices with margin removed

Goal lineOverUnder
0.5 goals22.6% · 1.052.2% · 11
1.5 goals18.5% · 1.286.8% · 3.5
2.5 goals12.1% · 1.9512.8% · 1.85
3.5 goals7.3% · 3.2517.8% · 1.33

Both teams to score

Yes52%
No48%

Double chance

1X61%
X239%

Match result

Pachuca1.85
Draw3.6
Puebla4.2

Both teams to score

Yes52% · 1.8
No48% · 1.95

1X

Chance61%
Odds1.22

X2

Chance39%
Odds1.91

Pachuca

Chance51.2%
Odds1.85

Draw

Chance26.3%
Odds3.6

Puebla

Chance22.5%
Odds4.2

No half-time prices stored.

No corner prices stored.

Model comparison

Our pick: Home at 1.85

PachucaPuebla
Recent form59%41%
Attack62%38%
Defence55%45%
Goals model62%38%
Head-to-head72%28%
Overall69%31%

Trends

Trend · Liga MX

Pachuca scored 1.6 per game in the last 10.

Trend · Liga MX

Pachuca conceded 1.3 per game in the last 10.

Trend · Liga MX

Failed to score in 1 of those 10.

Trend · Liga MX

Kept a clean sheet in 2 of those 10.

Pachuca vs Puebla: prediction & preview

Mexico · Liga MX · Sun, 8 Mar 2026

Pachuca meet Puebla in the Mexico, Liga MX on 8 March 2026 at 02:06 (Africa/Lagos). The recorded score is 2–1.

On the 1X2 market the shortest price is Pachuca at 1.85. Once the bookmaker margin is removed, that outcome carries about 51.2% of the implied chance, with the other two outcomes sharing the rest. A short price means the market rates that side more likely. It is not a certainty, and the margin means the three raw probabilities add up to more than 100% before they are scaled.

The 2.5-goal line is priced shorter on Under 2.5 (1.85, about 51.3% after the margin). Both teams to score is shorter on Yes at 1.8.

Season points-per-game rates were not stored on this fixture yet. The odds chart still shows how the 1X2, goals, and both-teams markets are priced.

Pachuca vs Puebla FAQs

4 questions

What time is Pachuca vs Puebla?

Kickoff is 02:06 on 8 March 2026, shown in Africa/Lagos.

Which outcome is shortest on Pachuca vs Puebla?

Pachuca is the shortest 1X2 price at 1.85. The margin-adjusted share is about 51.2%.

What are the over and under 2.5 prices?

Over 2.5 is 1.95 and under 2.5 is 1.85.

Do both teams score on this match?

Both teams to score is priced at 1.8. That is a market price, not a forecast that both sides will score.