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Pachuca vs Toluca Prediction, H2H, Stats & Betting Tips

Mexico · Liga MXMon, 23 Mar 2026

Pachuca

DWWLW

Mon, 23 Mar 202600:00

1 : 1

Full time

Toluca

DWWWW

Pre-match win probability

24%Pachuca25.6%Draw50.5%Toluca

Our prediction

Away or Draw · Pachuca

Pachuca vs Toluca listed tip from the board.

Odds1.25
Confidence50.5%
ResultGraded
Pre-match model probabilityPick and odds as published before kick-off
  • Pachuca 24%
  • Draw 25.6%
  • Toluca 50.5%

Season statistics

Liga MX · highlighted side is stronger

PachucaToluca

Betting markets

Bookmaker prices with margin removed

Goal lineOverUnder
0.5 goals22.9% · 1.031.6% · 15
1.5 goals20% · 1.185.2% · 4.5
2.5 goals14.3% · 1.6510.7% · 2.2
3.5 goals9.4% · 2.515.7% · 1.5

Both teams to score

Yes58.9%
No41.1%

Double chance

1X40.6%
X259.4%

Match result

Pachuca4
Draw3.75
Toluca1.9

Both teams to score

Yes58.9% · 1.57
No41.1% · 2.25

1X

Chance40.6%
Odds1.83

X2

Chance59.4%
Odds1.25

Pachuca

Chance24%
Odds4

Draw

Chance25.6%
Odds3.75

Toluca

Chance50.5%
Odds1.9

No half-time prices stored.

No corner prices stored.

Model comparison

Our pick: Away or Draw at 1.25

PachucaToluca
Recent form50%50%
Attack50%50%
Defence50%50%
Goals model50%50%
Overall32%68%

Pachuca vs Toluca: prediction & preview

Mexico · Liga MX · Mon, 23 Mar 2026

Pachuca meet Toluca in the Mexico, Liga MX on 23 March 2026 at 00:00 (Africa/Lagos). The recorded score is 1–1.

On the 1X2 market the shortest price is Toluca at 1.9. Once the bookmaker margin is removed, that outcome carries about 50.5% of the implied chance, with the other two outcomes sharing the rest. A short price means the market rates that side more likely. It is not a certainty, and the margin means the three raw probabilities add up to more than 100% before they are scaled.

The 2.5-goal line is priced shorter on Over 2.5 (1.65, about 57.1% after the margin). Both teams to score is shorter on Yes at 1.57.

Season points-per-game rates were not stored on this fixture yet. The odds chart still shows how the 1X2, goals, and both-teams markets are priced.

Pachuca vs Toluca FAQs

4 questions

What time is Pachuca vs Toluca?

Kickoff is 00:00 on 23 March 2026, shown in Africa/Lagos.

Which outcome is shortest on Pachuca vs Toluca?

Toluca is the shortest 1X2 price at 1.9. The margin-adjusted share is about 50.5%.

What are the over and under 2.5 prices?

Over 2.5 is 1.65 and under 2.5 is 2.2.

Do both teams score on this match?

Both teams to score is priced at 1.57. That is a market price, not a forecast that both sides will score.

Pachuca vs Toluca prediction, H2H and stats