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Pacos Ferreira vs Penafiel Prediction, H2H, Stats & Betting Tips

Portugal · Segunda LigaSun, 17 May 2026

Pacos Ferreira

DLLWD

Sun, 17 May 202620:30

2 : 1

Full time

Penafiel

WLWLW

Pre-match win probability

52.2%Pacos Ferreira25.8%Draw22%Penafiel

Our prediction

Away or Draw · Pacos Ferreira

Pacos Ferreira vs Penafiel listed tip from the board.

Odds2
Confidence52.2%
ResultGraded
Pre-match model probabilityPick and odds as published before kick-off
  • Pacos Ferreira 52.2%
  • Draw 25.8%
  • Penafiel 22%

Season statistics

Segunda Liga · highlighted side is stronger

Pacos FerreiraPenafiel

Betting markets

Bookmaker prices with margin removed

Goal lineOverUnder
0.5 goals22.7% · 1.041.8% · 13
1.5 goals18.9% · 1.256.3% · 3.75
2.5 goals13.1% · 1.811.8% · 2
3.5 goals7.9% · 317.4% · 1.36

Both teams to score

Yes51.5%
No48.5%

Double chance

1X62.9%
X237.1%

Match result

Pacos Ferreira1.73
Draw3.5
Penafiel4.1

Both teams to score

Yes51.5% · 1.8
No48.5% · 1.91

1X

Chance62.9%
Odds1.18

X2

Chance37.1%
Odds2

Pacos Ferreira

Chance52.2%
Odds1.73

Draw

Chance25.8%
Odds3.5

Penafiel

Chance22%
Odds4.1

No half-time prices stored.

No corner prices stored.

Model comparison

Our pick: Away or Draw at 2

Pacos FerreiraPenafiel
Recent form50%50%
Attack50%50%
Defence50%50%
Goals model50%50%
Overall70%30%

Pacos Ferreira vs Penafiel: prediction & preview

Portugal · Segunda Liga · Sun, 17 May 2026

Pacos Ferreira meet Penafiel in the Portugal, Segunda Liga on 17 May 2026 at 20:30 (Africa/Lagos). The recorded score is 2–1.

On the 1X2 market the shortest price is Pacos Ferreira at 1.73. Once the bookmaker margin is removed, that outcome carries about 52.2% of the implied chance, with the other two outcomes sharing the rest. A short price means the market rates that side more likely. It is not a certainty, and the margin means the three raw probabilities add up to more than 100% before they are scaled.

The 2.5-goal line is priced shorter on Over 2.5 (1.8, about 52.6% after the margin). Both teams to score is shorter on Yes at 1.8.

Season points-per-game rates were not stored on this fixture yet. The odds chart still shows how the 1X2, goals, and both-teams markets are priced.

Pacos Ferreira vs Penafiel FAQs

4 questions

What time is Pacos Ferreira vs Penafiel?

Kickoff is 20:30 on 17 May 2026, shown in Africa/Lagos.

Which outcome is shortest on Pacos Ferreira vs Penafiel?

Pacos Ferreira is the shortest 1X2 price at 1.73. The margin-adjusted share is about 52.2%.

What are the over and under 2.5 prices?

Over 2.5 is 1.8 and under 2.5 is 2.

Do both teams score on this match?

Both teams to score is priced at 1.8. That is a market price, not a forecast that both sides will score.

Pacos Ferreira vs Penafiel prediction, H2H and stats