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Padova vs Bari Prediction, H2H, Stats & Betting Tips

Italy · Serie BSat, 21 Feb 2026

Padova

10th in table · 46 pts

LLLWW

Sat, 21 Feb 202615:00

1 : 1

Full time

Bari

17th in table · 40 pts

LWDDL

Pre-match win probability

41.8%Padova31.3%Draw26.9%Bari

Our prediction

Away or Draw · Padova

Padova vs Bari listed tip from the board.

Odds1.57
Confidence41.8%
ResultGraded
Pre-match model probabilityPick and odds as published before kick-off
  • Padova 41.8%
  • Draw 31.3%
  • Bari 26.9%

Season statistics

Serie B · 10 matches each · highlighted side is stronger

PadovaBari
Goals scored (avg)
0.91.2
Goals conceded (avg)Lower is better
1.10.6
Wins
1210
Played
3838

Recent form

Last matches · newest first

Padova4W 1D 5L in last 10
  • 27 OctPadova2 – 0SudtirolW
  • 24 OctAvellino0 – 1PadovaW
  • 17 OctPadova1 – 2Virtus EntellaL
  • 11 OctPadova0 – 2CarrareseL
  • 19 SeptPalermo2 – 1PadovaL
Bari5W 3D 2L in last 10
  • 27 OctPotenza2 – 1BariL
  • 23 OctCasertana1 – 1BariD
  • 18 OctBari0 – 0CrotoneD
  • 10 OctBari2 – 0GiuglianoW
  • 4 OctSalernitana2 – 1BariL
H2H
Head to headPadova 0W · 0D · Bari 2W · 3 goals a game
  • 4 OctBari2 – 1Padova
  • 31 JulBari3 – 0Padova

Betting markets

Bookmaker prices with margin removed

Goal lineOverUnder
0.5 goals21.3% · 1.13.3% · 7
1.5 goals16.3% · 1.448.9% · 2.62
2.5 goals9.8% · 2.415.3% · 1.53
3.5 goals5.2% · 4.519.9% · 1.18

Both teams to score

Yes46.7%
No53.3%

Double chance

1X54.7%
X245.3%

Match result

Padova2.25
Draw3
Bari3.5

Both teams to score

Yes46.7% · 2
No53.3% · 1.75

1X

Chance54.7%
Odds1.3

X2

Chance45.3%
Odds1.57

Padova

Chance41.8%
Odds2.25

Draw

Chance31.3%
Odds3

Bari

Chance26.9%
Odds3.5

No half-time prices stored.

No corner prices stored.

Model comparison

Our pick: Away or Draw at 1.57

PadovaBari
Recent form42%58%
Attack43%57%
Defence44%56%
Goals model43%57%
Head-to-head0%100%
Overall61%39%

Trends

Trend · Serie B

Padova scored 0.9 per game in the last 10.

Trend · Serie B

Padova conceded 1.1 per game in the last 10.

Trend · Serie B

Failed to score in 2 of those 10.

Trend · Serie B

Kept a clean sheet in 4 of those 10.

Padova vs Bari: prediction & preview

Italy · Serie B · Sat, 21 Feb 2026

Padova meet Bari in the Italy, Serie B on 21 February 2026 at 15:00 (Africa/Lagos). The recorded score is 1–1.

On the 1X2 market the shortest price is Padova at 2.25. Once the bookmaker margin is removed, that outcome carries about 41.8% of the implied chance, with the other two outcomes sharing the rest. A short price means the market rates that side more likely. It is not a certainty, and the margin means the three raw probabilities add up to more than 100% before they are scaled.

The 2.5-goal line is priced shorter on Under 2.5 (1.53, about 61.1% after the margin). Both teams to score is shorter on No at 1.75.

Season points-per-game rates were not stored on this fixture yet. The odds chart still shows how the 1X2, goals, and both-teams markets are priced.

Padova vs Bari FAQs

4 questions

What time is Padova vs Bari?

Kickoff is 15:00 on 21 February 2026, shown in Africa/Lagos.

Which outcome is shortest on Padova vs Bari?

Padova is the shortest 1X2 price at 2.25. The margin-adjusted share is about 41.8%.

What are the over and under 2.5 prices?

Over 2.5 is 2.4 and under 2.5 is 1.53.

Do both teams score on this match?

Both teams to score is priced at 2. That is a market price, not a forecast that both sides will score.