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Padova vs Modena Prediction, H2H, Stats & Betting Tips

Italy · Serie BSun, 11 Jan 2026

Padova

LDWDW

Sun, 11 Jan 202617:15

2 : 0

Full time

Modena

LLWLL

Pre-match win probability

20.7%Padova30.1%Draw49.1%Modena

Our prediction

Home · Padova

Padova vs Modena listed tip from the board.

Odds4.5
Confidence49.1%
ResultGraded
Pre-match model probabilityPick and odds as published before kick-off
  • Padova 20.7%
  • Draw 30.1%
  • Modena 49.1%

Season statistics

Serie B · highlighted side is stronger

PadovaModena

Betting markets

Bookmaker prices with margin removed

Goal lineOverUnder
0.5 goals21.7% · 1.082.9% · 8
1.5 goals16.8% · 1.48.5% · 2.75
2.5 goals10.4% · 2.2514.5% · 1.62
3.5 goals5.9% · 419.2% · 1.22

Both teams to score

Yes48%
No52%

Double chance

1X40.4%
X259.6%

Match result

Padova4.5
Draw3.1
Modena1.9

Both teams to score

Yes48% · 1.95
No52% · 1.8

1X

Chance40.4%
Odds1.8

X2

Chance59.6%
Odds1.22

Padova

Chance20.7%
Odds4.5

Draw

Chance30.1%
Odds3.1

Modena

Chance49.1%
Odds1.9

No half-time prices stored.

No corner prices stored.

Model comparison

Our pick: Home at 4.5

PadovaModena
Recent form50%50%
Attack50%50%
Defence50%50%
Goals model50%50%
Overall30%70%

Padova vs Modena: prediction & preview

Italy · Serie B · Sun, 11 Jan 2026

Padova meet Modena in the Italy, Serie B on 11 January 2026 at 17:15 (Africa/Lagos). The recorded score is 2–0.

On the 1X2 market the shortest price is Modena at 1.9. Once the bookmaker margin is removed, that outcome carries about 49.1% of the implied chance, with the other two outcomes sharing the rest. A short price means the market rates that side more likely. It is not a certainty, and the margin means the three raw probabilities add up to more than 100% before they are scaled.

The 2.5-goal line is priced shorter on Under 2.5 (1.62, about 58.1% after the margin). Both teams to score is shorter on No at 1.8.

Season points-per-game rates were not stored on this fixture yet. The odds chart still shows how the 1X2, goals, and both-teams markets are priced.

Padova vs Modena FAQs

4 questions

What time is Padova vs Modena?

Kickoff is 17:15 on 11 January 2026, shown in Africa/Lagos.

Which outcome is shortest on Padova vs Modena?

Modena is the shortest 1X2 price at 1.9. The margin-adjusted share is about 49.1%.

What are the over and under 2.5 prices?

Over 2.5 is 2.25 and under 2.5 is 1.62.

Do both teams score on this match?

Both teams to score is priced at 1.95. That is a market price, not a forecast that both sides will score.

Padova vs Modena prediction, H2H and stats