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Padova vs Palermo Prediction, H2H, Stats & Betting Tips

Italy · Serie BSat, 21 Mar 2026

Padova

10th in table · 46 pts

LLLWW

Sat, 21 Mar 202615:00

0 : 1

Full time

Palermo

4th in table · 72 pts

DWWWW

Pre-match win probability

20%Padova23.2%Draw56.9%Palermo

Our prediction

Away or Draw · Padova

Padova vs Palermo listed tip from the board.

Odds1.18
Confidence56.9%
ResultGraded
Pre-match model probabilityPick and odds as published before kick-off
  • Padova 20%
  • Draw 23.2%
  • Palermo 56.9%

Season statistics

Serie B · 10 matches each · highlighted side is stronger

PadovaPalermo
Goals scored (avg)
0.92.5
Goals conceded (avg)Lower is better
1.11
Wins
1220
Played
3838

Recent form

Last matches · newest first

Padova4W 1D 5L in last 10
  • 27 OctPadova2 – 0SudtirolW
  • 24 OctAvellino0 – 1PadovaW
  • 17 OctPadova1 – 2Virtus EntellaL
  • 11 OctPadova0 – 2CarrareseL
  • 19 SeptPalermo2 – 1PadovaL
Palermo9W 1D 0L in last 10
  • 25 OctPalermo2 – 1CarrareseW
  • 17 OctMantova0 – 2PalermoW
  • 10 OctEmpoli2 – 4PalermoW
  • 19 SeptPalermo2 – 1PadovaW
  • 13 SeptAvellino1 – 1PalermoD
H2H
Head to headPadova 0W · 1D · Palermo 5W · 2 goals a game
  • 19 SeptPalermo2 – 1Padova
  • 27 DecPalermo1 – 0Padova
  • 12 JunPalermo1 – 0Padova
  • 5 JunPadova0 – 1Palermo
  • 22 AprPalermo1 – 1Padova
  • 8 DecPadova1 – 3Palermo

Betting markets

Bookmaker prices with margin removed

Goal lineOverUnder
0.5 goals22.3% · 1.062.4% · 10
1.5 goals18.2% · 1.37% · 3.4
2.5 goals11.8% · 213.1% · 1.8
3.5 goals6.8% · 3.518.5% · 1.28

Both teams to score

Yes50%
No50%

Double chance

1X36.5%
X263.5%

Match result

Padova4.75
Draw4.1
Palermo1.67

Both teams to score

Yes50% · 1.91
No50% · 1.91

1X

Chance36.5%
Odds2.05

X2

Chance63.5%
Odds1.18

Padova

Chance20%
Odds4.75

Draw

Chance23.2%
Odds4.1

Palermo

Chance56.9%
Odds1.67

No half-time prices stored.

No corner prices stored.

Model comparison

Our pick: Away or Draw at 1.18

PadovaPalermo
Recent form32%68%
Attack26%74%
Defence49%51%
Goals model26%74%
Head-to-head8%92%
Overall26%74%

Trends

Trend · Serie B

Padova scored 0.9 per game in the last 10.

Trend · Serie B

Padova conceded 1.1 per game in the last 10.

Trend · Serie B

Failed to score in 2 of those 10.

Trend · Serie B

Kept a clean sheet in 4 of those 10.

Padova vs Palermo: prediction & preview

Italy · Serie B · Sat, 21 Mar 2026

Padova meet Palermo in the Italy, Serie B on 21 March 2026 at 15:00 (Africa/Lagos). The recorded score is 0–1.

On the 1X2 market the shortest price is Palermo at 1.67. Once the bookmaker margin is removed, that outcome carries about 56.9% of the implied chance, with the other two outcomes sharing the rest. A short price means the market rates that side more likely. It is not a certainty, and the margin means the three raw probabilities add up to more than 100% before they are scaled.

The 2.5-goal line is priced shorter on Under 2.5 (1.8, about 52.6% after the margin). Both teams to score is shorter on Yes at 1.91.

Season points-per-game rates were not stored on this fixture yet. The odds chart still shows how the 1X2, goals, and both-teams markets are priced.

Padova vs Palermo FAQs

4 questions

What time is Padova vs Palermo?

Kickoff is 15:00 on 21 March 2026, shown in Africa/Lagos.

Which outcome is shortest on Padova vs Palermo?

Palermo is the shortest 1X2 price at 1.67. The margin-adjusted share is about 56.9%.

What are the over and under 2.5 prices?

Over 2.5 is 2 and under 2.5 is 1.8.

Do both teams score on this match?

Both teams to score is priced at 1.91. That is a market price, not a forecast that both sides will score.