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Pafos vs AEK Larnaca Prediction, H2H, Stats & Betting Tips

Cyprus · 1. DivisionSat, 18 Apr 2026

Pafos

DWLDW

Sat, 18 Apr 202616:00

1 : 1

Full time

AEK Larnaca

LDWDW

Pre-match win probability

44.5%Pafos28.8%Draw26.7%AEK Larnaca

Our prediction

Home or Draw · Pafos

Pafos vs AEK Larnaca listed tip from the board.

Odds1.28
Confidence44.5%
ResultGraded
Pre-match model probabilityPick and odds as published before kick-off
  • Pafos 44.5%
  • Draw 28.8%
  • AEK Larnaca 26.7%

Season statistics

1. Division · highlighted side is stronger

PafosAEK Larnaca

Recent form

Last matches · newest first

Pafos0W 0D 0L in last 0
    AEK Larnaca0W 0D 0L in last 0
      H2H
      Head to headNo previous meetings found between these sides.

      Betting markets

      Bookmaker prices with margin removed

      Goal lineOverUnder
      0.5 goals22.8% · 1.032.4% · 10
      1.5 goals18.4% · 1.286.7% · 3.5
      2.5 goals12.1% · 1.9512.7% · 1.85
      3.5 goals7.2% · 3.2517.7% · 1.33

      Both teams to score

      Yes51.5%
      No48.5%

      Double chance

      1X56.6%
      X243.4%

      Match result

      Pafos2.1
      Draw3.25
      AEK Larnaca3.5

      Both teams to score

      Yes51.5% · 1.8
      No48.5% · 1.91

      1X

      Chance56.6%
      Odds1.28

      X2

      Chance43.4%
      Odds1.67

      Pafos

      Chance44.5%
      Odds2.1

      Draw

      Chance28.8%
      Odds3.25

      AEK Larnaca

      Chance26.7%
      Odds3.5

      No half-time prices stored.

      No corner prices stored.

      Model comparison

      Our pick: Home or Draw at 1.28

      PafosAEK Larnaca
      Recent form50%50%
      Attack50%50%
      Defence50%50%
      Goals model50%50%
      Overall63%37%

      Pafos vs AEK Larnaca: prediction & preview

      Cyprus · 1. Division · Sat, 18 Apr 2026

      Pafos meet AEK Larnaca in the Cyprus, 1. Division on 18 April 2026 at 16:00 (Africa/Lagos). The recorded score is 1–1.

      On the 1X2 market the shortest price is Pafos at 2.1. Once the bookmaker margin is removed, that outcome carries about 44.5% of the implied chance, with the other two outcomes sharing the rest. A short price means the market rates that side more likely. It is not a certainty, and the margin means the three raw probabilities add up to more than 100% before they are scaled.

      The 2.5-goal line is priced shorter on Under 2.5 (1.85, about 51.3% after the margin). Both teams to score is shorter on Yes at 1.8.

      Season points-per-game rates were not stored on this fixture yet. The odds chart still shows how the 1X2, goals, and both-teams markets are priced.

      Pafos vs AEK Larnaca FAQs

      4 questions

      What time is Pafos vs AEK Larnaca?

      Kickoff is 16:00 on 18 April 2026, shown in Africa/Lagos.

      Which outcome is shortest on Pafos vs AEK Larnaca?

      Pafos is the shortest 1X2 price at 2.1. The margin-adjusted share is about 44.5%.

      What are the over and under 2.5 prices?

      Over 2.5 is 1.95 and under 2.5 is 1.85.

      Do both teams score on this match?

      Both teams to score is priced at 1.8. That is a market price, not a forecast that both sides will score.