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Pafos vs AEL Prediction, H2H, Stats & Betting Tips

Cyprus · CupWed, 22 Apr 2026

Pafos

WLDDD

Wed, 22 Apr 202615:00

3 : 1

Full time

AEL

WWWWL

Pre-match win probability

60.9%Pafos22%Draw17.2%AEL

Our prediction

Home · Pafos

Pafos vs AEL listed tip from the board.

Odds1.48
Confidence60.9%
ResultGraded
Pre-match model probabilityPick and odds as published before kick-off
  • Pafos 60.9%
  • Draw 22%
  • AEL 17.2%

Season statistics

Cup · 10 matches each · highlighted side is stronger

PafosAEL
Goals scored (avg)
11.8
Goals conceded (avg)Lower is better
0.71.3

Recent form

Last matches · newest first

Pafos4W 4D 2L in last 10
  • 26 OctNea Salamis0 – 0PafosD
  • 22 OctPafos1 – 1RigaD
  • 19 OctPafos0 – 0Apoel NicosiaD
  • 15 OctAtalanta3 – 1PafosL
  • 11 OctAnorthosis1 – 3PafosW
AEL7W 1D 2L in last 10
  • 25 OctAEL1 – 3ArisL
  • 18 OctOmonia Aradippou0 – 2AELW
  • 11 OctAEL2 – 1Omonia 29is MaiouW
  • 18 SeptPafos0 – 2AELW
  • 11 SeptAEL2 – 1Nea SalamisW
H2H
Head to headPafos 8W · 0D · AEL 1W · 2.6 goals a game
  • 18 SeptPafos0 – 2AEL
  • 8 AprAEL1 – 2Pafos
  • 15 FebAEL0 – 1Pafos
  • 2 NovPafos1 – 0AEL
  • 6 JanPafos4 – 0AEL
  • 22 SeptAEL1 – 3Pafos

Betting markets

Bookmaker prices with margin removed

Goal lineOverUnder
2.5 goals56.3% · 1.6743.7% · 2.15

Double chance

1X66.3%
X233.7%

Match result

Pafos1.48
Draw4.1
AEL5.25

No BTTS prices stored.

1X

Chance66.3%
Odds1.12

X2

Chance33.7%
Odds2.2

Pafos

Chance60.9%
Odds1.48

Draw

Chance22%
Odds4.1

AEL

Chance17.2%
Odds5.25

No half-time prices stored.

No corner prices stored.

Model comparison

Our pick: Home at 1.48

PafosAEL
Recent form42%58%
Attack36%64%
Defence57%43%
Goals model36%64%
Head-to-head89%11%
Overall78%22%

Trends

Trend · Cup

Pafos scored 1 per game in the last 10.

Trend · Cup

Pafos conceded 0.7 per game in the last 10.

Trend · Cup

Failed to score in 4 of those 10.

Trend · Cup

Kept a clean sheet in 6 of those 10.

Pafos vs AEL: prediction & preview

Cyprus · Cup · Wed, 22 Apr 2026

Pafos meet AEL in the Cyprus, Cup on 22 April 2026 at 15:00 (Africa/Lagos). The recorded score is 3–1.

On the 1X2 market the shortest price is Pafos at 1.48. Once the bookmaker margin is removed, that outcome carries about 60.9% of the implied chance, with the other two outcomes sharing the rest. A short price means the market rates that side more likely. It is not a certainty, and the margin means the three raw probabilities add up to more than 100% before they are scaled.

The 2.5-goal line is priced shorter on Over 2.5 (1.67, about 56.3% after the margin).

Season points-per-game rates were not stored on this fixture yet. The odds chart still shows how the 1X2, goals, and both-teams markets are priced.

Pafos vs AEL FAQs

4 questions

What time is Pafos vs AEL?

Kickoff is 15:00 on 22 April 2026, shown in Africa/Lagos.

Which outcome is shortest on Pafos vs AEL?

Pafos is the shortest 1X2 price at 1.48. The margin-adjusted share is about 60.9%.

What are the over and under 2.5 prices?

Over 2.5 is 1.67 and under 2.5 is 2.15.

Do both teams score on this match?

A both-teams-to-score price is not stored for this match.