Pafos vs Riga Prediction, H2H, Stats & Betting Tips

Pafos

DLWLW

Thu, 22 Oct 202617:45

1 : 1

Full time

Riga

WDWWW

Pre-match win probability

50.6%Pafos25.3%Draw24%Riga

Our prediction

Away · Pafos

Pafos vs Riga listed tip from the board.

Odds3.9
Confidence50.6%
ResultGraded
Pre-match model probabilityPick and odds as published before kick-off
  • Pafos 50.6%
  • Draw 25.3%
  • Riga 24%

Season statistics

UEFA Europa Conference League · highlighted side is stronger

PafosRiga

Betting markets

Bookmaker prices with margin removed

Goal lineOverUnder
0.5 goals22.7% · 1.041.8% · 13
1.5 goals19.3% · 1.225.9% · 4
2.5 goals13.6% · 1.7311.3% · 2.08
3.5 goals8.6% · 2.7516.8% · 1.4

Both teams to score

Yes53.6%
No46.4%

Double chance

1X65.8%
X234.2%

Match result

Pafos1.85
Draw3.7
Riga3.9

Both teams to score

Yes53.6% · 1.73
No46.4% · 2

1X

Chance65.8%
Odds1.17

X2

Chance34.2%
Odds2.25

Pafos

Chance50.6%
Odds1.85

Draw

Chance25.3%
Odds3.7

Riga

Chance24%
Odds3.9

No half-time prices stored.

No corner prices stored.

Model comparison

Our pick: Away at 3.9

PafosRiga
Recent form50%50%
Attack50%50%
Defence50%50%
Goals model50%50%
Overall68%32%

Pafos vs Riga: prediction & preview

World · UEFA Europa Conference League · Thu, 22 Oct 2026

Pafos meet Riga in the World, UEFA Europa Conference League on 22 October 2026 at 17:45 (Africa/Lagos). The recorded score is 1–1.

On the 1X2 market the shortest price is Pafos at 1.85. Once the bookmaker margin is removed, that outcome carries about 50.6% of the implied chance, with the other two outcomes sharing the rest. A short price means the market rates that side more likely. It is not a certainty, and the margin means the three raw probabilities add up to more than 100% before they are scaled.

The 2.5-goal line is priced shorter on Over 2.5 (1.73, about 54.6% after the margin). Both teams to score is shorter on Yes at 1.73.

Season points-per-game rates were not stored on this fixture yet. The odds chart still shows how the 1X2, goals, and both-teams markets are priced.

Pafos vs Riga FAQs

4 questions

What time is Pafos vs Riga?

Kickoff is 17:45 on 22 October 2026, shown in Africa/Lagos.

Which outcome is shortest on Pafos vs Riga?

Pafos is the shortest 1X2 price at 1.85. The margin-adjusted share is about 50.6%.

What are the over and under 2.5 prices?

Over 2.5 is 1.73 and under 2.5 is 2.08.

Do both teams score on this match?

Both teams to score is priced at 1.73. That is a market price, not a forecast that both sides will score.

Pafos vs Riga prediction, H2H and stats