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Pakhtakor vs Neftchi Prediction, H2H, Stats & Betting Tips

Uzbekistan · Super LeagueFri, 23 Oct 2026

Pakhtakor

2nd in table · 53 pts

Fri, 23 Oct 202615:00

1 : 3

Full time

Neftchi

1st in table · 58 pts

DLWLL

Pre-match win probability

42.6%Pakhtakor26.3%Draw31.1%Neftchi

Our prediction

Pakhtakor

Pakhtakor is the shortest 1X2 price in the stored market.

Odds2.1
Confidence42.6%
ResultGraded
Pre-match model probabilityPick and odds as published before kick-off
  • Pakhtakor 42.6%
  • Draw 26.3%
  • Neftchi 31.1%

Season statistics

Super League · highlighted side is stronger

PakhtakorNeftchi
Goals scored (avg)
–1.8
Goals conceded (avg)Lower is better
–2.2
Wins
1518
Played
2525

Recent form

Last matches · newest first

Pakhtakor0W 0D 0L in last 0
    Neftchi4W 1D 4L in last 9
    • 26 OctNeftchi1 – 2Al-Ittihad FCL
    • 20 OctNeftchi2 – 4LokomotivL
    • 16 OctKokand-19122 – 4NeftchiW
    • 12 OctAl-Nassr3 – 1NeftchiL
    • 7 OctNeftchi2 – 2XorazmD
    H2H
    Head to headPakhtakor 4W · 1D · Neftchi 4W · 1.8 goals a game
    • 29 AugNeftchi1 – 0Pakhtakor
    • 9 AprNeftchi0 – 1Pakhtakor
    • 15 MarNeftchi1 – 0Pakhtakor
    • 13 SeptPakhtakor2 – 1Neftchi
    • 19 AprNeftchi0 – 4Pakhtakor
    • 13 SeptPakhtakor0 – 0Neftchi

    Betting markets

    Bookmaker prices with margin removed

    Goal lineOverUnder
    2.5 goals53.9% · 1.7546.1% · 2.05

    Double chance

    1X52.2%
    X247.8%

    Match result

    Pakhtakor2.1
    Draw3.4
    Neftchi2.88

    No BTTS prices stored.

    1X

    Chance52.2%
    Odds1.4

    X2

    Chance47.8%
    Odds1.53

    Pakhtakor

    Chance42.6%
    Odds2.1

    Draw

    Chance26.3%
    Odds3.4

    Neftchi

    Chance31.1%
    Odds2.88

    No half-time prices stored.

    No corner prices stored.

    Model comparison

    Our pick: Pakhtakor at 2.1

    PakhtakorNeftchi
    Recent form7%93%
    Attack36%64%
    Defence56%44%
    Goals model36%64%
    Head-to-head50%50%
    Overall58%42%

    Trends

    Trend · Super League

    Neftchi scored 1.8 per game in the last 9.

    Trend · Super League

    Neftchi conceded 2.2 per game in the last 9.

    Trend · Super League

    Kept a clean sheet in 2 of those 9.

    Trend · Super League

    Over 2.5 goals in 7 of those 9.

    Pakhtakor vs Neftchi: prediction & preview

    Uzbekistan · Super League · Fri, 23 Oct 2026

    Pakhtakor meet Neftchi in the Uzbekistan, Super League on 23 October 2026 at 15:00 (Africa/Lagos). The recorded score is 1–3.

    On the 1X2 market the shortest price is Pakhtakor at 2.1. Once the bookmaker margin is removed, that outcome carries about 42.6% of the implied chance, with the other two outcomes sharing the rest. A short price means the market rates that side more likely. It is not a certainty, and the margin means the three raw probabilities add up to more than 100% before they are scaled.

    The 2.5-goal line is priced shorter on Over 2.5 (1.75, about 53.9% after the margin).

    Season points-per-game rates were not stored on this fixture yet. The odds chart still shows how the 1X2, goals, and both-teams markets are priced.

    Pakhtakor vs Neftchi FAQs

    4 questions

    What time is Pakhtakor vs Neftchi?

    Kickoff is 15:00 on 23 October 2026, shown in Africa/Lagos.

    Which outcome is shortest on Pakhtakor vs Neftchi?

    Pakhtakor is the shortest 1X2 price at 2.1. The margin-adjusted share is about 42.6%.

    What are the over and under 2.5 prices?

    Over 2.5 is 1.75 and under 2.5 is 2.05.

    Do both teams score on this match?

    A both-teams-to-score price is not stored for this match.