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Palmeiras vs Gremio Prediction, H2H, Stats & Betting Tips

Brazil · Serie AFri, 3 Apr 2026

Palmeiras

WWWLW

Fri, 3 Apr 202601:30

2 : 1

Full time

Gremio

LWDDD

Pre-match win probability

60.7%Palmeiras22.7%Draw16.6%Gremio

Our prediction

Home · Palmeiras

Palmeiras vs Gremio listed tip from the board.

Odds1.57
Confidence60.7%
ResultGraded
Pre-match model probabilityPick and odds as published before kick-off
  • Palmeiras 60.7%
  • Draw 22.7%
  • Gremio 16.6%

Season statistics

Serie A · highlighted side is stronger

PalmeirasGremio

Recent form

Last matches · newest first

Palmeiras0W 0D 0L in last 0
    Gremio0W 0D 0L in last 0
      H2H
      Head to headPalmeiras 5W · 2D · Gremio 2W · 2.6 goals a game
      • 20 SeptGremio0 – 0Palmeiras
      • 26 NovGremio3 – 2Palmeiras
      • 27 JulPalmeiras1 – 0Gremio
      • 9 NovPalmeiras1 – 0Gremio
      • 4 JulGremio2 – 2Palmeiras
      • 22 SeptGremio1 – 0Palmeiras

      Betting markets

      Bookmaker prices with margin removed

      Goal lineOverUnder
      0.5 goals23.1% · 1.031.6% · 15
      1.5 goals19.8% · 1.25.3% · 4.5
      2.5 goals14.4% · 1.6510.8% · 2.2
      3.5 goals9.1% · 2.6215.9% · 1.5

      Both teams to score

      Yes52%
      No48%

      Double chance

      1X70.2%
      X229.8%

      Match result

      Palmeiras1.57
      Draw4.2
      Gremio5.75

      Both teams to score

      Yes52% · 1.8
      No48% · 1.95

      1X

      Chance70.2%
      Odds1.11

      X2

      Chance29.8%
      Odds2.62

      Palmeiras

      Chance60.7%
      Odds1.57

      Draw

      Chance22.7%
      Odds4.2

      Gremio

      Chance16.6%
      Odds5.75

      No half-time prices stored.

      No corner prices stored.

      Model comparison

      Our pick: Home at 1.57

      PalmeirasGremio
      Recent form50%50%
      Attack50%50%
      Defence50%50%
      Goals model50%50%
      Head-to-head67%33%
      Overall79%21%

      Palmeiras vs Gremio: prediction & preview

      Brazil · Serie A · Fri, 3 Apr 2026

      Palmeiras meet Gremio in the Brazil, Serie A on 3 April 2026 at 01:30 (Africa/Lagos). The recorded score is 2–1.

      On the 1X2 market the shortest price is Palmeiras at 1.57. Once the bookmaker margin is removed, that outcome carries about 60.7% of the implied chance, with the other two outcomes sharing the rest. A short price means the market rates that side more likely. It is not a certainty, and the margin means the three raw probabilities add up to more than 100% before they are scaled.

      The 2.5-goal line is priced shorter on Over 2.5 (1.65, about 57.1% after the margin). Both teams to score is shorter on Yes at 1.8.

      Season points-per-game rates were not stored on this fixture yet. The odds chart still shows how the 1X2, goals, and both-teams markets are priced.

      Palmeiras vs Gremio FAQs

      4 questions

      What time is Palmeiras vs Gremio?

      Kickoff is 01:30 on 3 April 2026, shown in Africa/Lagos.

      Which outcome is shortest on Palmeiras vs Gremio?

      Palmeiras is the shortest 1X2 price at 1.57. The margin-adjusted share is about 60.7%.

      What are the over and under 2.5 prices?

      Over 2.5 is 1.65 and under 2.5 is 2.2.

      Do both teams score on this match?

      Both teams to score is priced at 1.8. That is a market price, not a forecast that both sides will score.

      Palmeiras vs Gremio prediction, H2H and stats