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Palmeiras vs Santos Prediction, H2H, Stats & Betting Tips

Brazil · Paulista - A1Wed, 14 Jan 2026

Palmeiras

W

Wed, 14 Jan 202623:30

1 : 0

Live

Santos

W

Pre-match win probability

52.2%Palmeiras26.1%Draw21.7%Santos

Our prediction

Home or Draw · Palmeiras

Palmeiras vs Santos listed tip from the board.

Odds1.2
Confidence52.2%
ResultGraded
Pre-match model probabilityPick and odds as published before kick-off
  • Palmeiras 52.2%
  • Draw 26.1%
  • Santos 21.7%

Season statistics

Paulista - A1 · highlighted side is stronger

PalmeirasSantos

Betting markets

Bookmaker prices with margin removed

Goal lineOverUnder
0.5 goals22.6% · 1.052.2% · 11
1.5 goals18.9% · 1.256.3% · 3.75
2.5 goals12.8% · 1.8512.1% · 1.95
3.5 goals7.3% · 3.2517.8% · 1.33

Both teams to score

Yes53.3%
No46.7%

Double chance

1X61.9%
X238.1%

Match result

Palmeiras1.8
Draw3.6
Santos4.33

Both teams to score

Yes53.3% · 1.75
No46.7% · 2

1X

Chance61.9%
Odds1.2

X2

Chance38.1%
Odds1.95

Palmeiras

Chance52.2%
Odds1.8

Draw

Chance26.1%
Odds3.6

Santos

Chance21.7%
Odds4.33

No half-time prices stored.

No corner prices stored.

Model comparison

Our pick: Home or Draw at 1.2

PalmeirasSantos
Recent form50%50%
Attack50%50%
Defence50%50%
Goals model50%50%
Overall71%29%

Palmeiras vs Santos: prediction & preview

Brazil · Paulista - A1 · Wed, 14 Jan 2026

Palmeiras meet Santos in the Brazil, Paulista - A1 on 14 January 2026 at 23:30 (Africa/Lagos). The recorded score is 1–0.

On the 1X2 market the shortest price is Palmeiras at 1.8. Once the bookmaker margin is removed, that outcome carries about 52.2% of the implied chance, with the other two outcomes sharing the rest. A short price means the market rates that side more likely. It is not a certainty, and the margin means the three raw probabilities add up to more than 100% before they are scaled.

The 2.5-goal line is priced shorter on Over 2.5 (1.85, about 51.3% after the margin). Both teams to score is shorter on Yes at 1.75.

Season points-per-game rates were not stored on this fixture yet. The odds chart still shows how the 1X2, goals, and both-teams markets are priced.

Palmeiras vs Santos FAQs

4 questions

What time is Palmeiras vs Santos?

Kickoff is 23:30 on 14 January 2026, shown in Africa/Lagos.

Which outcome is shortest on Palmeiras vs Santos?

Palmeiras is the shortest 1X2 price at 1.8. The margin-adjusted share is about 52.2%.

What are the over and under 2.5 prices?

Over 2.5 is 1.85 and under 2.5 is 1.95.

Do both teams score on this match?

Both teams to score is priced at 1.75. That is a market price, not a forecast that both sides will score.

Palmeiras vs Santos prediction, H2H and stats