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Palmeiras vs Santos Prediction, H2H, Stats & Betting Tips

Brazil · Serie ASat, 2 May 2026

Palmeiras

2nd in table · 69 pts

DWWWW

Sat, 2 May 202622:30

1 : 1

Full time

Santos

8th in table · 46 pts

DDDLD

Pre-match win probability

61.1%Palmeiras24.3%Draw14.6%Santos

Our prediction

Home or Draw · Palmeiras

Palmeiras vs Santos listed tip from the board.

Odds1.11
Confidence61.1%
ResultGraded
Pre-match model probabilityPick and odds as published before kick-off
  • Palmeiras 61.1%
  • Draw 24.3%
  • Santos 14.6%

Season statistics

Serie A · highlighted side is stronger

PalmeirasSantos
Wins
2012
Played
3232

Recent form

Last matches · newest first

Palmeiras0W 0D 0L in last 0
    Santos0W 0D 0L in last 0
      H2H
      Head to headPalmeiras 6W · 1D · Santos 2W · 1.8 goals a game
      • 3 SeptSantos0 – 0Palmeiras
      • 27 AugPalmeiras3 – 0Santos
      • 14 JanPalmeiras1 – 0Santos
      • 16 NovSantos1 – 0Palmeiras
      • 7 NovPalmeiras2 – 0Santos
      • 23 JanSantos1 – 2Palmeiras

      Betting markets

      Bookmaker prices with margin removed

      Goal lineOverUnder
      0.5 goals22.3% · 1.072.6% · 9
      1.5 goals17.9% · 1.337% · 3.4
      2.5 goals11.6% · 2.0513.6% · 1.75
      3.5 goals6.4% · 3.7518.6% · 1.28

      Both teams to score

      Yes45.3%
      No54.7%

      Double chance

      1X68.2%
      X231.8%

      Match result

      Palmeiras1.55
      Draw3.9
      Santos6.5

      Both teams to score

      Yes45.3% · 2.05
      No54.7% · 1.7

      1X

      Chance68.2%
      Odds1.11

      X2

      Chance31.8%
      Odds2.38

      Palmeiras

      Chance61.1%
      Odds1.55

      Draw

      Chance24.3%
      Odds3.9

      Santos

      Chance14.6%
      Odds6.5

      No half-time prices stored.

      No corner prices stored.

      Model comparison

      Our pick: Home or Draw at 1.11

      PalmeirasSantos
      Recent form50%50%
      Attack50%50%
      Defence50%50%
      Goals model50%50%
      Head-to-head72%28%
      Overall81%19%

      Palmeiras vs Santos: prediction & preview

      Brazil · Serie A · Sat, 2 May 2026

      Palmeiras meet Santos in the Brazil, Serie A on 2 May 2026 at 22:30 (Africa/Lagos). The recorded score is 1–1.

      On the 1X2 market the shortest price is Palmeiras at 1.55. Once the bookmaker margin is removed, that outcome carries about 61.1% of the implied chance, with the other two outcomes sharing the rest. A short price means the market rates that side more likely. It is not a certainty, and the margin means the three raw probabilities add up to more than 100% before they are scaled.

      The 2.5-goal line is priced shorter on Under 2.5 (1.75, about 53.9% after the margin). Both teams to score is shorter on No at 1.7.

      Season points-per-game rates were not stored on this fixture yet. The odds chart still shows how the 1X2, goals, and both-teams markets are priced.

      Palmeiras vs Santos FAQs

      4 questions

      What time is Palmeiras vs Santos?

      Kickoff is 22:30 on 2 May 2026, shown in Africa/Lagos.

      Which outcome is shortest on Palmeiras vs Santos?

      Palmeiras is the shortest 1X2 price at 1.55. The margin-adjusted share is about 61.1%.

      What are the over and under 2.5 prices?

      Over 2.5 is 2.05 and under 2.5 is 1.75.

      Do both teams score on this match?

      Both teams to score is priced at 2.05. That is a market price, not a forecast that both sides will score.