Get Premium

Palmeiras vs Sao Paulo Prediction, H2H, Stats & Betting Tips

Brazil · Paulista - A1Mon, 2 Mar 2026

Palmeiras

2nd in table · 16 pts

WWDWW

Mon, 2 Mar 202600:30

2 : 1

Full time

Sao Paulo

6th in table · 13 pts

WWWWW

Pre-match win probability

51%Palmeiras27.4%Draw21.6%Sao Paulo

Our prediction

Draw · Palmeiras

Palmeiras vs Sao Paulo listed tip from the board.

Odds3.4
Confidence51%
ResultGraded
Pre-match model probabilityPick and odds as published before kick-off
  • Palmeiras 51%
  • Draw 27.4%
  • Sao Paulo 21.6%

Season statistics

Paulista - A1 · highlighted side is stronger

PalmeirasSao Paulo
Wins
54
Played
88

Recent form

Last matches · newest first

Palmeiras0W 0D 0L in last 0
    Sao Paulo0W 0D 0L in last 0
      H2H
      Head to headNo previous meetings found between these sides.

      Betting markets

      Bookmaker prices with margin removed

      Goal lineOverUnder
      0.5 goals22.3% · 1.062.4% · 10
      1.5 goals17.8% · 1.337.3% · 3.25
      2.5 goals11.2% · 2.113.9% · 1.7
      3.5 goals6.3% · 3.7518.9% · 1.25

      Both teams to score

      Yes48%
      No52%

      Double chance

      1X61.4%
      X238.6%

      Match result

      Palmeiras1.83
      Draw3.4
      Sao Paulo4.33

      Both teams to score

      Yes48% · 1.95
      No52% · 1.8

      1X

      Chance61.4%
      Odds1.2

      X2

      Chance38.6%
      Odds1.91

      Palmeiras

      Chance51%
      Odds1.83

      Draw

      Chance27.4%
      Odds3.4

      Sao Paulo

      Chance21.6%
      Odds4.33

      No half-time prices stored.

      No corner prices stored.

      Model comparison

      Our pick: Draw at 3.4

      PalmeirasSao Paulo
      Recent form50%50%
      Attack50%50%
      Defence50%50%
      Goals model50%50%
      Overall70%30%

      Palmeiras vs Sao Paulo: prediction & preview

      Brazil · Paulista - A1 · Mon, 2 Mar 2026

      Palmeiras meet Sao Paulo in the Brazil, Paulista - A1 on 2 March 2026 at 00:30 (Africa/Lagos). The recorded score is 2–1.

      On the 1X2 market the shortest price is Palmeiras at 1.83. Once the bookmaker margin is removed, that outcome carries about 51% of the implied chance, with the other two outcomes sharing the rest. A short price means the market rates that side more likely. It is not a certainty, and the margin means the three raw probabilities add up to more than 100% before they are scaled.

      The 2.5-goal line is priced shorter on Under 2.5 (1.7, about 55.3% after the margin). Both teams to score is shorter on No at 1.8.

      Season points-per-game rates were not stored on this fixture yet. The odds chart still shows how the 1X2, goals, and both-teams markets are priced.

      Palmeiras vs Sao Paulo FAQs

      4 questions

      What time is Palmeiras vs Sao Paulo?

      Kickoff is 00:30 on 2 March 2026, shown in Africa/Lagos.

      Which outcome is shortest on Palmeiras vs Sao Paulo?

      Palmeiras is the shortest 1X2 price at 1.83. The margin-adjusted share is about 51%.

      What are the over and under 2.5 prices?

      Over 2.5 is 2.1 and under 2.5 is 1.7.

      Do both teams score on this match?

      Both teams to score is priced at 1.95. That is a market price, not a forecast that both sides will score.