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Paredes vs Maria da Fonte Prediction, H2H, Stats & Betting Tips

Portugal · Taça de PortugalSun, 20 Sept 2026

Paredes

Sun, 20 Sept 202616:00

5 : 1

Full time

Maria da Fonte

Pre-match win probability

80%Paredes14.6%Draw5.4%Maria da Fonte

Our prediction

Paredes

Paredes is the shortest 1X2 price in the stored market.

Odds1.14
Confidence80%
ResultGraded
Pre-match model probabilityPick and odds as published before kick-off
  • Paredes 80%
  • Draw 14.6%
  • Maria da Fonte 5.4%

Season statistics

Taça de Portugal · highlighted side is stronger

ParedesMaria da Fonte

Betting markets

Bookmaker prices with margin removed

Goal lineOverUnder
0.5 goals22.7% · 1.041.8% · 13
1.5 goals19.7% · 1.25.4% · 4.33
2.5 goals14.3% · 1.6510.7% · 2.2
3.5 goals9% · 2.6216.4% · 1.44

Both teams to score

Yes39.1%
No60.9%

Double chance

1X80.9%
X219.1%

Match result

Paredes1.14
Draw6.25
Maria da Fonte17

Both teams to score

Yes39.1% · 2.38
No60.9% · 1.53

1X

Chance80.9%
Odds1.02

X2

Chance19.1%
Odds4.33

Paredes

Chance80%
Odds1.14

Draw

Chance14.6%
Odds6.25

Maria da Fonte

Chance5.4%
Odds17

No half-time prices stored.

No corner prices stored.

Model comparison

Our pick: Paredes at 1.14

ParedesMaria da Fonte
Recent form50%50%
Attack50%50%
Defence50%50%
Goals model50%50%
Overall94%6%

Paredes vs Maria da Fonte: prediction & preview

Portugal · Taça de Portugal · Sun, 20 Sept 2026

Paredes meet Maria da Fonte in the Portugal, Taça de Portugal on 20 September 2026 at 16:00 (Africa/Lagos). The recorded score is 5–1.

On the 1X2 market the shortest price is Paredes at 1.14. Once the bookmaker margin is removed, that outcome carries about 80% of the implied chance, with the other two outcomes sharing the rest. A short price means the market rates that side more likely. It is not a certainty, and the margin means the three raw probabilities add up to more than 100% before they are scaled.

The 2.5-goal line is priced shorter on Over 2.5 (1.65, about 57.1% after the margin). Both teams to score is shorter on No at 1.53.

Season points-per-game rates were not stored on this fixture yet. The odds chart still shows how the 1X2, goals, and both-teams markets are priced.

Paredes vs Maria da Fonte FAQs

4 questions

What time is Paredes vs Maria da Fonte?

Kickoff is 16:00 on 20 September 2026, shown in Africa/Lagos.

Which outcome is shortest on Paredes vs Maria da Fonte?

Paredes is the shortest 1X2 price at 1.14. The margin-adjusted share is about 80%.

What are the over and under 2.5 prices?

Over 2.5 is 1.65 and under 2.5 is 2.2.

Do both teams score on this match?

Both teams to score is priced at 2.38. That is a market price, not a forecast that both sides will score.

Paredes vs Maria da Fonte prediction, H2H and stats