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Paris FC vs Marseille Prediction, H2H, Stats & Betting Tips

France · Ligue 1Sat, 31 Jan 2026

Paris FC

11th in table · 44 pts

DWLWL

Sat, 31 Jan 202617:00

2 : 2

Full time

Marseille

5th in table · 59 pts

WLWLW

Pre-match win probability

23.1%Paris FC24.3%Draw52.6%Marseille

Our prediction

Marseille

Marseille is the shortest 1X2 price in the stored market.

Odds1.8
Confidence52.6%
ResultGraded
Pre-match model probabilityPick and odds as published before kick-off
  • Paris FC 23.1%
  • Draw 24.3%
  • Marseille 52.6%

Season statistics

Ligue 1 · 9 matches each · highlighted side is stronger

Paris FCMarseille
Goals scored (avg)
1.71.5
Goals conceded (avg)Lower is better
1.31.9
Wins
1118
Played
3434

Recent form

Last matches · newest first

Paris FC4W 2D 3L in last 9
  • 24 OctLens2 – 1Paris FCL
  • 18 OctParis FC4 – 3RennesW
  • 10 OctLorient1 – 0Paris FCL
  • 19 SeptParis FC2 – 1StrasbourgW
  • 12 SeptParis FC0 – 0LyonD
Marseille3W 0D 7L in last 10
  • 25 OctMarseille4 – 3Le HavreW
  • 22 OctSturm Graz1 – 0MarseilleL
  • 18 OctAngers2 – 5MarseilleW
  • 15 OctMarseille0 – 1Olympiakos PiraeusL
  • 11 OctEstac Troyes0 – 2MarseilleW
H2H
Head to headParis FC 1W · 0D · Marseille 1W · 6 goals a game
  • 6 SeptMarseille2 – 3Paris FC
  • 23 AugMarseille5 – 2Paris FC

Betting markets

Bookmaker prices with margin removed

Goal lineOverUnder
0.5 goals22.9% · 1.041.8% · 13
1.5 goals19.5% · 1.225.5% · 4.33
2.5 goals13.8% · 1.7311.3% · 2.1
3.5 goals8.7% · 2.7516.5% · 1.44

Both teams to score

Yes55.7%
No44.3%

Double chance

1X38.5%
X261.5%

Match result

Paris FC4.1
Draw3.9
Marseille1.8

Both teams to score

Yes55.7% · 1.67
No44.3% · 2.1

1X

Chance38.5%
Odds1.95

X2

Chance61.5%
Odds1.22

Paris FC

Chance23.1%
Odds4.1

Draw

Chance24.3%
Odds3.9

Marseille

Chance52.6%
Odds1.8

No half-time prices stored.

No corner prices stored.

Model comparison

Our pick: Marseille at 1.8

Paris FCMarseille
Recent form61%39%
Attack53%47%
Defence61%39%
Goals model53%47%
Head-to-head50%50%
Overall31%69%

Trends

Trend · Ligue 1

Paris FC scored 1.7 per game in the last 9.

Trend · Ligue 1

Paris FC conceded 1.3 per game in the last 9.

Trend · Ligue 1

Failed to score in 3 of those 9.

Trend · Ligue 1

Kept a clean sheet in 3 of those 9.

Paris FC vs Marseille: prediction & preview

France · Ligue 1 · Sat, 31 Jan 2026

Paris FC meet Marseille in the France, Ligue 1 on 31 January 2026 at 17:00 (Africa/Lagos). The recorded score is 2–2.

On the 1X2 market the shortest price is Marseille at 1.8. Once the bookmaker margin is removed, that outcome carries about 52.6% of the implied chance, with the other two outcomes sharing the rest. A short price means the market rates that side more likely. It is not a certainty, and the margin means the three raw probabilities add up to more than 100% before they are scaled.

The 2.5-goal line is priced shorter on Over 2.5 (1.73, about 54.8% after the margin). Both teams to score is shorter on Yes at 1.67.

Season points-per-game rates were not stored on this fixture yet. The odds chart still shows how the 1X2, goals, and both-teams markets are priced.

Paris FC vs Marseille FAQs

4 questions

What time is Paris FC vs Marseille?

Kickoff is 17:00 on 31 January 2026, shown in Africa/Lagos.

Which outcome is shortest on Paris FC vs Marseille?

Marseille is the shortest 1X2 price at 1.8. The margin-adjusted share is about 52.6%.

What are the over and under 2.5 prices?

Over 2.5 is 1.73 and under 2.5 is 2.1.

Do both teams score on this match?

Both teams to score is priced at 1.67. That is a market price, not a forecast that both sides will score.