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Paris Saint Germain vs Aston Villa Prediction, H2H, Stats & Betting Tips

World · UEFA Super CupWed, 12 Aug 2026

Paris Saint Germain

Wed, 12 Aug 202620:00

2 : 1

Full time

Aston Villa

Pre-match win probability

56.7%Paris Saint Germain24.3%Draw19%Aston Villa

Our prediction

Over 1.5 · Paris Saint Germain

Paris Saint Germain vs Aston Villa listed tip from the board.

Odds1.67
Confidence56.7%
ResultGraded
Pre-match model probabilityPick and odds as published before kick-off
  • Paris Saint Germain 56.7%
  • Draw 24.3%
  • Aston Villa 19%

Season statistics

UEFA Super Cup · highlighted side is stronger

Paris Saint GermainAston Villa

Betting markets

Bookmaker prices with margin removed

Goal lineOverUnder
0.5 goals22.9% · 1.041.8% · 13
1.5 goals19.5% · 1.225.5% · 4.33
2.5 goals13.8% · 1.7311.3% · 2.1
3.5 goals8.7% · 2.7516.5% · 1.44

Both teams to score

Yes53.3%
No46.7%

Double chance

1X63.5%
X236.5%

Match result

Paris Saint Germain1.67
Draw3.9
Aston Villa5

Both teams to score

Yes53.3% · 1.75
No46.7% · 2

1X

Chance63.5%
Odds1.18

X2

Chance36.5%
Odds2.05

Paris Saint Germain

Chance56.7%
Odds1.67

Draw

Chance24.3%
Odds3.9

Aston Villa

Chance19%
Odds5

No half-time prices stored.

No corner prices stored.

Model comparison

Our pick: Over 1.5 at 1.67

Paris Saint GermainAston Villa
Recent form50%50%
Attack50%50%
Defence50%50%
Goals model50%50%
Overall75%25%

Paris Saint Germain vs Aston Villa: prediction & preview

World · UEFA Super Cup · Wed, 12 Aug 2026

Paris Saint Germain meet Aston Villa in the World, UEFA Super Cup on 12 August 2026 at 20:00 (Africa/Lagos). The recorded score is 2–1.

On the 1X2 market the shortest price is Paris Saint Germain at 1.67. Once the bookmaker margin is removed, that outcome carries about 56.7% of the implied chance, with the other two outcomes sharing the rest. A short price means the market rates that side more likely. It is not a certainty, and the margin means the three raw probabilities add up to more than 100% before they are scaled.

The 2.5-goal line is priced shorter on Over 2.5 (1.73, about 54.8% after the margin). Both teams to score is shorter on Yes at 1.75.

Season points-per-game rates were not stored on this fixture yet. The odds chart still shows how the 1X2, goals, and both-teams markets are priced.

Paris Saint Germain vs Aston Villa FAQs

4 questions

What time is Paris Saint Germain vs Aston Villa?

Kickoff is 20:00 on 12 August 2026, shown in Africa/Lagos.

Which outcome is shortest on Paris Saint Germain vs Aston Villa?

Paris Saint Germain is the shortest 1X2 price at 1.67. The margin-adjusted share is about 56.7%.

What are the over and under 2.5 prices?

Over 2.5 is 1.73 and under 2.5 is 2.1.

Do both teams score on this match?

Both teams to score is priced at 1.75. That is a market price, not a forecast that both sides will score.

Paris Saint Germain vs Aston Villa prediction, H2H and stats