Paris Saint Germain vs Bayern München Prediction, H2H, Stats & Betting Tips

Paris Saint Germain

WWLWW

Tue, 28 Apr 202620:00

5 : 4

Full time

Bayern München

WWWWW

Pre-match win probability

39.1%Paris Saint Germain24%Draw36.9%Bayern München

Our prediction

Draw · Paris Saint Germain

Paris Saint Germain vs Bayern München listed tip from the board.

Odds4
Confidence39.1%
ResultGraded
Pre-match model probabilityPick and odds as published before kick-off
  • Paris Saint Germain 39.1%
  • Draw 24%
  • Bayern München 36.9%

Season statistics

UEFA Champions League · highlighted side is stronger

Paris Saint GermainBayern München

Betting markets

Bookmaker prices with margin removed

Goal lineOverUnder
0.5 goals23.5% · 1.011% · 23
1.5 goals21.2% · 1.124% · 6
2.5 goals16.5% · 1.448.6% · 2.75
3.5 goals11.9% · 213.2% · 1.8

Both teams to score

Yes68.8%
No31.2%

Double chance

1X50%
X250%

Match result

Paris Saint Germain2.45
Draw4
Bayern München2.6

Both teams to score

Yes68.8% · 1.36
No31.2% · 3

1X

Chance50%
Odds1.5

X2

Chance50%
Odds1.5

Paris Saint Germain

Chance39.1%
Odds2.45

Draw

Chance24%
Odds4

Bayern München

Chance36.9%
Odds2.6

No half-time prices stored.

No corner prices stored.

Model comparison

Our pick: Draw at 4

Paris Saint GermainBayern München
Recent form50%50%
Attack50%50%
Defence50%50%
Goals model50%50%
Overall51%49%

Paris Saint Germain vs Bayern München: prediction & preview

World · UEFA Champions League · Tue, 28 Apr 2026

Paris Saint Germain meet Bayern München in the World, UEFA Champions League on 28 April 2026 at 20:00 (Africa/Lagos). The recorded score is 5–4.

On the 1X2 market the shortest price is Paris Saint Germain at 2.45. Once the bookmaker margin is removed, that outcome carries about 39.1% of the implied chance, with the other two outcomes sharing the rest. A short price means the market rates that side more likely. It is not a certainty, and the margin means the three raw probabilities add up to more than 100% before they are scaled.

The 2.5-goal line is priced shorter on Over 2.5 (1.44, about 65.6% after the margin). Both teams to score is shorter on Yes at 1.36.

Season points-per-game rates were not stored on this fixture yet. The odds chart still shows how the 1X2, goals, and both-teams markets are priced.

Paris Saint Germain vs Bayern München FAQs

4 questions

What time is Paris Saint Germain vs Bayern München?

Kickoff is 20:00 on 28 April 2026, shown in Africa/Lagos.

Which outcome is shortest on Paris Saint Germain vs Bayern München?

Paris Saint Germain is the shortest 1X2 price at 2.45. The margin-adjusted share is about 39.1%.

What are the over and under 2.5 prices?

Over 2.5 is 1.44 and under 2.5 is 2.75.

Do both teams score on this match?

Both teams to score is priced at 1.36. That is a market price, not a forecast that both sides will score.

Paris Saint Germain vs Bayern München prediction, H2H and stats