Paris Saint Germain vs Marseille Prediction, H2H, Stats & Betting Tips

Paris Saint Germain

WWDWD

Thu, 8 Jan 202619:00

2 : 2

Full time

Marseille

LWWWL

Pre-match win probability

63.9%Paris Saint Germain20.6%Draw15.5%Marseille

Our prediction

Home or Draw · Paris Saint Germain

Paris Saint Germain vs Marseille listed tip from the board.

Odds1.14
Confidence63.9%
ResultGraded
Pre-match model probabilityPick and odds as published before kick-off
  • Paris Saint Germain 63.9%
  • Draw 20.6%
  • Marseille 15.5%

Season statistics

Trophée des Champions · highlighted side is stronger

Paris Saint GermainMarseille

Betting markets

Bookmaker prices with margin removed

Goal lineOverUnder
0.5 goals23.4% · 1.021.3% · 19
1.5 goals20.9% · 1.144.3% · 5.5
2.5 goals15.9% · 1.59.1% · 2.62
3.5 goals10.8% · 2.214.3% · 1.67

Both teams to score

Yes57.6%
No42.4%

Double chance

1X67.6%
X232.4%

Match result

Paris Saint Germain1.45
Draw4.5
Marseille6

Both teams to score

Yes57.6% · 1.62
No42.4% · 2.2

1X

Chance67.6%
Odds1.14

X2

Chance32.4%
Odds2.38

Paris Saint Germain

Chance63.9%
Odds1.45

Draw

Chance20.6%
Odds4.5

Marseille

Chance15.5%
Odds6

No half-time prices stored.

No corner prices stored.

Model comparison

Our pick: Home or Draw at 1.14

Paris Saint GermainMarseille
Recent form50%50%
Attack50%50%
Defence50%50%
Goals model50%50%
Overall80%20%

Paris Saint Germain vs Marseille: prediction & preview

France · Trophée des Champions · Thu, 8 Jan 2026

Paris Saint Germain meet Marseille in the France, Trophée des Champions on 8 January 2026 at 19:00 (Africa/Lagos). The recorded score is 2–2.

On the 1X2 market the shortest price is Paris Saint Germain at 1.45. Once the bookmaker margin is removed, that outcome carries about 63.9% of the implied chance, with the other two outcomes sharing the rest. A short price means the market rates that side more likely. It is not a certainty, and the margin means the three raw probabilities add up to more than 100% before they are scaled.

The 2.5-goal line is priced shorter on Over 2.5 (1.5, about 63.6% after the margin). Both teams to score is shorter on Yes at 1.62.

Season points-per-game rates were not stored on this fixture yet. The odds chart still shows how the 1X2, goals, and both-teams markets are priced.

Paris Saint Germain vs Marseille FAQs

4 questions

What time is Paris Saint Germain vs Marseille?

Kickoff is 19:00 on 8 January 2026, shown in Africa/Lagos.

Which outcome is shortest on Paris Saint Germain vs Marseille?

Paris Saint Germain is the shortest 1X2 price at 1.45. The margin-adjusted share is about 63.9%.

What are the over and under 2.5 prices?

Over 2.5 is 1.5 and under 2.5 is 2.62.

Do both teams score on this match?

Both teams to score is priced at 1.62. That is a market price, not a forecast that both sides will score.

Paris Saint Germain vs Marseille prediction, H2H and stats