Paris Saint Germain vs Metz Prediction, H2H, Stats & Betting Tips

France · Ligue 1Sat, 21 Feb 2026

Paris Saint Germain

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Sat, 21 Feb 202621:05

3 : 0

Full time

Metz

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Pre-match win probability

81.8%Paris Saint Germain11%Draw7.2%Metz

Our prediction

Home · Paris Saint Germain

Paris Saint Germain vs Metz listed tip from the board.

Odds1.14
Confidence81.8%
ResultGraded
Pre-match model probabilityPick and odds as published before kick-off
  • Paris Saint Germain 81.8%
  • Draw 11%
  • Metz 7.2%

Season statistics

Ligue 1 · highlighted side is stronger

Paris Saint GermainMetz

Betting markets

Bookmaker prices with margin removed

Goal lineOverUnder
0.5 goals23.6% · 1.011% · 23
1.5 goals21.7% · 1.13.4% · 7
2.5 goals18% · 1.337% · 3.4
3.5 goals13.3% · 1.811.9% · 2

Both teams to score

Yes46.7%
No53.3%

Double chance

1X84.1%
X215.9%

Match result

Paris Saint Germain1.14
Draw8.5
Metz13

Both teams to score

Yes46.7% · 2
No53.3% · 1.75

1X

Chance84.1%
Odds1.04

X2

Chance15.9%
Odds5.5

Paris Saint Germain

Chance81.8%
Odds1.14

Draw

Chance11%
Odds8.5

Metz

Chance7.2%
Odds13

No half-time prices stored.

No corner prices stored.

Model comparison

Our pick: Home at 1.14

Paris Saint GermainMetz
Recent form50%50%
Attack50%50%
Defence50%50%
Goals model50%50%
Overall92%8%

Paris Saint Germain vs Metz: prediction & preview

France · Ligue 1 · Sat, 21 Feb 2026

Paris Saint Germain meet Metz in the France, Ligue 1 on 21 February 2026 at 21:05 (Africa/Lagos). The recorded score is 3–0.

On the 1X2 market the shortest price is Paris Saint Germain at 1.14. Once the bookmaker margin is removed, that outcome carries about 81.8% of the implied chance, with the other two outcomes sharing the rest. A short price means the market rates that side more likely. It is not a certainty, and the margin means the three raw probabilities add up to more than 100% before they are scaled.

The 2.5-goal line is priced shorter on Over 2.5 (1.33, about 71.9% after the margin). Both teams to score is shorter on No at 1.75.

Season points-per-game rates were not stored on this fixture yet. The odds chart still shows how the 1X2, goals, and both-teams markets are priced.

Paris Saint Germain vs Metz FAQs

4 questions

What time is Paris Saint Germain vs Metz?

Kickoff is 21:05 on 21 February 2026, shown in Africa/Lagos.

Which outcome is shortest on Paris Saint Germain vs Metz?

Paris Saint Germain is the shortest 1X2 price at 1.14. The margin-adjusted share is about 81.8%.

What are the over and under 2.5 prices?

Over 2.5 is 1.33 and under 2.5 is 3.4.

Do both teams score on this match?

Both teams to score is priced at 2. That is a market price, not a forecast that both sides will score.

Paris Saint Germain vs Metz prediction, H2H and stats