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Paris Saint Germain vs Monaco Prediction, H2H, Stats & Betting Tips

France · Ligue 1Fri, 4 Sept 2026

Paris Saint Germain

1st in table · 17 pts

DDLWD

Fri, 4 Sept 202620:05

1 : 2

Full time

Monaco

4th in table · 15 pts

DWLWD

Pre-match win probability

70.4%Paris Saint Germain16.3%Draw13.4%Monaco

Our prediction

Away or Draw · Paris Saint Germain

Paris Saint Germain vs Monaco listed tip from the board.

Odds3.25
Confidence70.4%
ResultGraded
Pre-match model probabilityPick and odds as published before kick-off
  • Paris Saint Germain 70.4%
  • Draw 16.3%
  • Monaco 13.4%

Season statistics

Ligue 1 · highlighted side is stronger

Paris Saint GermainMonaco
Goals scored (avg)
–1.7
Goals conceded (avg)Lower is better
–0.8
Wins
54
Played
88

Recent form

Last matches · newest first

Paris Saint Germain0W 0D 0L in last 0
    Monaco5W 3D 1L in last 9
    • 25 OctMonaco1 – 1LilleD
    • 22 OctMonaco3 – 0SC FreiburgW
    • 18 OctLorient1 – 0MonacoL
    • 15 OctCSKA Sofia1 – 2MonacoW
    • 10 OctMonaco2 – 2ToulouseD
    H2H
    Head to headParis Saint Germain 5W · 2D · Monaco 2W · 3.7 goals a game
    • 6 MarParis Saint Germain1 – 3Monaco
    • 25 FebParis Saint Germain2 – 2Monaco
    • 17 FebMonaco2 – 3Paris Saint Germain
    • 29 NovMonaco1 – 0Paris Saint Germain
    • 7 FebParis Saint Germain4 – 1Monaco
    • 5 JanParis Saint Germain1 – 0Monaco

    Betting markets

    Bookmaker prices with margin removed

    Goal lineOverUnder
    0.5 goals23.7% · 1.011% · 23
    1.5 goals21.7% · 1.13.4% · 7
    2.5 goals17.6% · 1.367.5% · 3.2
    3.5 goals12.5% · 1.9112.5% · 1.91

    Both teams to score

    Yes57.6%
    No42.4%

    Double chance

    1X74.7%
    X225.3%

    Match result

    Paris Saint Germain1.33
    Draw5.75
    Monaco7

    Both teams to score

    Yes57.6% · 1.62
    No42.4% · 2.2

    1X

    Chance74.7%
    Odds1.1

    X2

    Chance25.3%
    Odds3.25

    Paris Saint Germain

    Chance70.4%
    Odds1.33

    Draw

    Chance16.3%
    Odds5.75

    Monaco

    Chance13.4%
    Odds7

    No half-time prices stored.

    No corner prices stored.

    Model comparison

    Our pick: Away or Draw at 3.25

    Paris Saint GermainMonaco
    Recent form5%95%
    Attack37%63%
    Defence31%69%
    Goals model37%63%
    Head-to-head67%33%
    Overall84%16%

    Trends

    Trend · Ligue 1

    Monaco scored 1.7 per game in the last 9.

    Trend · Ligue 1

    Monaco conceded 0.8 per game in the last 9.

    Trend · Ligue 1

    Failed to score in 1 of those 9.

    Trend · Ligue 1

    Kept a clean sheet in 3 of those 9.

    Paris Saint Germain vs Monaco: prediction & preview

    France · Ligue 1 · Fri, 4 Sept 2026

    Paris Saint Germain meet Monaco in the France, Ligue 1 on 4 September 2026 at 20:05 (Africa/Lagos). The recorded score is 1–2.

    On the 1X2 market the shortest price is Paris Saint Germain at 1.33. Once the bookmaker margin is removed, that outcome carries about 70.4% of the implied chance, with the other two outcomes sharing the rest. A short price means the market rates that side more likely. It is not a certainty, and the margin means the three raw probabilities add up to more than 100% before they are scaled.

    The 2.5-goal line is priced shorter on Over 2.5 (1.36, about 70.2% after the margin). Both teams to score is shorter on Yes at 1.62.

    Season points-per-game rates were not stored on this fixture yet. The odds chart still shows how the 1X2, goals, and both-teams markets are priced.

    Paris Saint Germain vs Monaco FAQs

    4 questions

    What time is Paris Saint Germain vs Monaco?

    Kickoff is 20:05 on 4 September 2026, shown in Africa/Lagos.

    Which outcome is shortest on Paris Saint Germain vs Monaco?

    Paris Saint Germain is the shortest 1X2 price at 1.33. The margin-adjusted share is about 70.4%.

    What are the over and under 2.5 prices?

    Over 2.5 is 1.36 and under 2.5 is 3.2.

    Do both teams score on this match?

    Both teams to score is priced at 1.62. That is a market price, not a forecast that both sides will score.