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PAU vs Bastia Prediction, H2H, Stats & Betting Tips

France · Ligue 2Fri, 6 Mar 2026

PAU

Fri, 6 Mar 202620:00

2 : 2

Full time

Bastia

Pre-match win probability

41.2%PAU28.9%Draw29.9%Bastia

Our prediction

PAU

PAU is the shortest 1X2 price in the stored market.

Odds2.25
Confidence41.2%
ResultGraded
Pre-match model probabilityPick and odds as published before kick-off
  • PAU 41.2%
  • Draw 28.9%
  • Bastia 29.9%

Season statistics

Ligue 2 · highlighted side is stronger

PAUBastia

Betting markets

Bookmaker prices with margin removed

Goal lineOverUnder
0.5 goals22.3% · 1.062.4% · 10
1.5 goals17.8% · 1.337.3% · 3.25
2.5 goals11.4% · 2.0813.7% · 1.73
3.5 goals6.3% · 3.7518.9% · 1.25

Both teams to score

Yes50%
No50%

Double chance

1X56.7%
X243.3%

Match result

PAU2.25
Draw3.2
Bastia3.1

Both teams to score

Yes50% · 1.83
No50% · 1.83

1X

Chance56.7%
Odds1.3

X2

Chance43.3%
Odds1.7

PAU

Chance41.2%
Odds2.25

Draw

Chance28.9%
Odds3.2

Bastia

Chance29.9%
Odds3.1

No half-time prices stored.

No corner prices stored.

Model comparison

Our pick: PAU at 2.25

PAUBastia
Recent form50%50%
Attack50%50%
Defence50%50%
Goals model50%50%
Overall58%42%

PAU vs Bastia: prediction & preview

France · Ligue 2 · Fri, 6 Mar 2026

PAU meet Bastia in the France, Ligue 2 on 6 March 2026 at 20:00 (Africa/Lagos). The recorded score is 2–2.

On the 1X2 market the shortest price is PAU at 2.25. Once the bookmaker margin is removed, that outcome carries about 41.2% of the implied chance, with the other two outcomes sharing the rest. A short price means the market rates that side more likely. It is not a certainty, and the margin means the three raw probabilities add up to more than 100% before they are scaled.

The 2.5-goal line is priced shorter on Under 2.5 (1.73, about 54.6% after the margin). Both teams to score is shorter on Yes at 1.83.

Season points-per-game rates were not stored on this fixture yet. The odds chart still shows how the 1X2, goals, and both-teams markets are priced.

PAU vs Bastia FAQs

4 questions

What time is PAU vs Bastia?

Kickoff is 20:00 on 6 March 2026, shown in Africa/Lagos.

Which outcome is shortest on PAU vs Bastia?

PAU is the shortest 1X2 price at 2.25. The margin-adjusted share is about 41.2%.

What are the over and under 2.5 prices?

Over 2.5 is 2.08 and under 2.5 is 1.73.

Do both teams score on this match?

Both teams to score is priced at 1.83. That is a market price, not a forecast that both sides will score.

PAU vs Bastia prediction, H2H and stats