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Pavia vs Castellanzese Prediction, H2H, Stats & Betting Tips

Italy · Serie D - Girone BSun, 22 Mar 2026

Pavia

15th in table · 37 pts

Sun, 22 Mar 202614:30

1 : 0

Full time

Castellanzese

13th in table · 41 pts

Pre-match win probability

39.5%Pavia28.7%Draw31.8%Castellanzese

Our prediction

Pavia

Pavia is the shortest 1X2 price in the stored market.

Odds2.25
Confidence39.5%
ResultGraded
Pre-match model probabilityPick and odds as published before kick-off
  • Pavia 39.5%
  • Draw 28.7%
  • Castellanzese 31.8%

Season statistics

Serie D - Girone B · highlighted side is stronger

PaviaCastellanzese
Wins
910
Played
3434

Recent form

Last matches · newest first

Pavia0W 0D 0L in last 0
    Castellanzese0W 0D 0L in last 0
      H2H
      Head to headPavia 0W · 1D · Castellanzese 0W · 0 goals a game
      • 9 NovCastellanzese0 – 0Pavia

      Betting markets

      Bookmaker prices with margin removed

      Goal lineOverUnder
      2.5 goals41% · 2.359% · 1.6

      Double chance

      1X53.5%
      X246.5%

      Match result

      Pavia2.25
      Draw3.1
      Castellanzese2.8

      No BTTS prices stored.

      1X

      Chance53.5%
      Odds1.33

      X2

      Chance46.5%
      Odds1.53

      Pavia

      Chance39.5%
      Odds2.25

      Draw

      Chance28.7%
      Odds3.1

      Castellanzese

      Chance31.8%
      Odds2.8

      No half-time prices stored.

      No corner prices stored.

      Model comparison

      Our pick: Pavia at 2.25

      PaviaCastellanzese
      Recent form50%50%
      Attack50%50%
      Defence50%50%
      Goals model50%50%
      Head-to-head50%50%
      Overall55%45%

      Pavia vs Castellanzese: prediction & preview

      Italy · Serie D - Girone B · Sun, 22 Mar 2026

      Pavia meet Castellanzese in the Italy, Serie D - Girone B on 22 March 2026 at 14:30 (Africa/Lagos). The recorded score is 1–0.

      On the 1X2 market the shortest price is Pavia at 2.25. Once the bookmaker margin is removed, that outcome carries about 39.5% of the implied chance, with the other two outcomes sharing the rest. A short price means the market rates that side more likely. It is not a certainty, and the margin means the three raw probabilities add up to more than 100% before they are scaled.

      The 2.5-goal line is priced shorter on Under 2.5 (1.6, about 59% after the margin).

      Season points-per-game rates were not stored on this fixture yet. The odds chart still shows how the 1X2, goals, and both-teams markets are priced.

      Pavia vs Castellanzese FAQs

      4 questions

      What time is Pavia vs Castellanzese?

      Kickoff is 14:30 on 22 March 2026, shown in Africa/Lagos.

      Which outcome is shortest on Pavia vs Castellanzese?

      Pavia is the shortest 1X2 price at 2.25. The margin-adjusted share is about 39.5%.

      What are the over and under 2.5 prices?

      Over 2.5 is 2.3 and under 2.5 is 1.6.

      Do both teams score on this match?

      A both-teams-to-score price is not stored for this match.