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Paysandu vs Independência Prediction, H2H, Stats & Betting Tips

Brazil · Copa NorteWed, 15 Apr 2026

Paysandu

LDLWD

Wed, 15 Apr 202623:00

2 : 1

Live

Independência

Pre-match win probability

83.7%Paysandu11.5%Draw4.8%Independência

Our prediction

Paysandu

Paysandu is the shortest 1X2 price in the stored market.

Odds1.1
Confidence83.7%
ResultGraded
Pre-match model probabilityPick and odds as published before kick-off
  • Paysandu 83.7%
  • Draw 11.5%
  • Independência 4.8%

Season statistics

Copa Norte · 10 matches each · highlighted side is stronger

PaysanduIndependência
Goals scored (avg)
0.8–
Goals conceded (avg)Lower is better
1.4–

Recent form

Last matches · newest first

Paysandu3W 2D 5L in last 10
  • 11 OctBrusque1 – 1PaysanduD
  • 3 OctPaysandu1 – 0FerroviáriaW
  • 26 SeptInter De Limeira2 – 0PaysanduL
  • 20 SeptPaysandu2 – 2Inter De LimeiraD
  • 13 SeptFerroviária1 – 0PaysanduL
Independência0W 0D 0L in last 0
    H2H
    Head to headNo previous meetings found between these sides.

    Betting markets

    Bookmaker prices with margin removed

    Goal lineOverUnder
    0.5 goals23.2% · 1.011.8% · 13
    1.5 goals19.6% · 1.25.4% · 4.33
    2.5 goals14.2% · 1.6510.7% · 2.2
    3.5 goals9.4% · 2.515.7% · 1.5

    Both teams to score

    Yes37.5%
    No62.5%

    Double chance

    1X79.8%
    X220.2%

    Match result

    Paysandu1.1
    Draw8
    Independência19

    Both teams to score

    Yes37.5% · 2.5
    No62.5% · 1.5

    1X

    Chance79.8%
    Odds1.01

    X2

    Chance20.2%
    Odds4

    Paysandu

    Chance83.7%
    Odds1.1

    Draw

    Chance11.5%
    Odds8

    Independência

    Chance4.8%
    Odds19

    No half-time prices stored.

    No corner prices stored.

    Model comparison

    Our pick: Paysandu at 1.1

    PaysanduIndependência
    Recent form92%8%
    Attack44%56%
    Defence62%38%
    Goals model44%56%
    Overall95%5%

    Trends

    Trend · Copa Norte

    Paysandu scored 0.8 per game in the last 10.

    Trend · Copa Norte

    Paysandu conceded 1.4 per game in the last 10.

    Trend · Copa Norte

    Failed to score in 4 of those 10.

    Trend · Copa Norte

    Kept a clean sheet in 2 of those 10.

    Paysandu vs Independência: prediction & preview

    Brazil · Copa Norte · Wed, 15 Apr 2026

    Paysandu meet Independência in the Brazil, Copa Norte on 15 April 2026 at 23:00 (Africa/Lagos). The recorded score is 2–1.

    On the 1X2 market the shortest price is Paysandu at 1.1. Once the bookmaker margin is removed, that outcome carries about 83.7% of the implied chance, with the other two outcomes sharing the rest. A short price means the market rates that side more likely. It is not a certainty, and the margin means the three raw probabilities add up to more than 100% before they are scaled.

    The 2.5-goal line is priced shorter on Over 2.5 (1.65, about 57.1% after the margin). Both teams to score is shorter on No at 1.5.

    Season points-per-game rates were not stored on this fixture yet. The odds chart still shows how the 1X2, goals, and both-teams markets are priced.

    Paysandu vs Independência FAQs

    4 questions

    What time is Paysandu vs Independência?

    Kickoff is 23:00 on 15 April 2026, shown in Africa/Lagos.

    Which outcome is shortest on Paysandu vs Independência?

    Paysandu is the shortest 1X2 price at 1.1. The margin-adjusted share is about 83.7%.

    What are the over and under 2.5 prices?

    Over 2.5 is 1.65 and under 2.5 is 2.2.

    Do both teams score on this match?

    Both teams to score is priced at 2.5. That is a market price, not a forecast that both sides will score.