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PEC Zwolle vs AZ Alkmaar Prediction, H2H, Stats & Betting Tips

Netherlands · EredivisieSat, 17 Jan 2026

PEC Zwolle

DLWLL

Sat, 17 Jan 202618:45

3 : 1

Full time

AZ Alkmaar

WWLDW

Pre-match win probability

16%PEC Zwolle20.2%Draw63.9%AZ Alkmaar

Our prediction

Away · PEC Zwolle

PEC Zwolle vs AZ Alkmaar listed tip from the board.

Odds1.5
Confidence63.9%
ResultGraded
Pre-match model probabilityPick and odds as published before kick-off
  • PEC Zwolle 16%
  • Draw 20.2%
  • AZ Alkmaar 63.9%

Season statistics

Eredivisie · highlighted side is stronger

PEC ZwolleAZ Alkmaar

Betting markets

Bookmaker prices with margin removed

Goal lineOverUnder
0.5 goals23.2% · 1.021.2% · 19
1.5 goals20.7% · 1.144.3% · 5.5
2.5 goals15.8% · 1.59.5% · 2.5
3.5 goals10.7% · 2.214.6% · 1.62

Both teams to score

Yes55.7%
No44.3%

Double chance

1X29.9%
X270.1%

Match result

PEC Zwolle6
Draw4.75
AZ Alkmaar1.5

Both teams to score

Yes55.7% · 1.67
No44.3% · 2.1

1X

Chance29.9%
Odds2.62

X2

Chance70.1%
Odds1.12

PEC Zwolle

Chance16%
Odds6

Draw

Chance20.2%
Odds4.75

AZ Alkmaar

Chance63.9%
Odds1.5

No half-time prices stored.

No corner prices stored.

Model comparison

Our pick: Away at 1.5

PEC ZwolleAZ Alkmaar
Recent form50%50%
Attack50%50%
Defence50%50%
Goals model50%50%
Overall20%80%

PEC Zwolle vs AZ Alkmaar: prediction & preview

Netherlands · Eredivisie · Sat, 17 Jan 2026

PEC Zwolle meet AZ Alkmaar in the Netherlands, Eredivisie on 17 January 2026 at 18:45 (Africa/Lagos). The recorded score is 3–1.

On the 1X2 market the shortest price is AZ Alkmaar at 1.5. Once the bookmaker margin is removed, that outcome carries about 63.9% of the implied chance, with the other two outcomes sharing the rest. A short price means the market rates that side more likely. It is not a certainty, and the margin means the three raw probabilities add up to more than 100% before they are scaled.

The 2.5-goal line is priced shorter on Over 2.5 (1.5, about 62.5% after the margin). Both teams to score is shorter on Yes at 1.67.

Season points-per-game rates were not stored on this fixture yet. The odds chart still shows how the 1X2, goals, and both-teams markets are priced.

PEC Zwolle vs AZ Alkmaar FAQs

4 questions

What time is PEC Zwolle vs AZ Alkmaar?

Kickoff is 18:45 on 17 January 2026, shown in Africa/Lagos.

Which outcome is shortest on PEC Zwolle vs AZ Alkmaar?

AZ Alkmaar is the shortest 1X2 price at 1.5. The margin-adjusted share is about 63.9%.

What are the over and under 2.5 prices?

Over 2.5 is 1.5 and under 2.5 is 2.5.

Do both teams score on this match?

Both teams to score is priced at 1.67. That is a market price, not a forecast that both sides will score.

PEC Zwolle vs AZ Alkmaar prediction, H2H and stats