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Penafiel vs Academica Prediction, H2H, Stats & Betting Tips

Portugal · Segunda LigaSat, 5 Sept 2026

Penafiel

Sat, 5 Sept 202614:00

4 : 1

Full time

Academica

Pre-match win probability

40.5%Penafiel29.7%Draw29.7%Academica

Our prediction

Penafiel

Penafiel is the shortest 1X2 price in the stored market.

Odds2.2
Confidence40.5%
ResultGraded
Pre-match model probabilityPick and odds as published before kick-off
  • Penafiel 40.5%
  • Draw 29.7%
  • Academica 29.7%

Season statistics

Segunda Liga · highlighted side is stronger

PenafielAcademica

Betting markets

Bookmaker prices with margin removed

Goal lineOverUnder
0.5 goals21.8% · 1.082.9% · 8
1.5 goals16.8% · 1.48.5% · 2.75
2.5 goals10.4% · 2.2514.5% · 1.62
3.5 goals5.4% · 4.3319.6% · 1.2

Both teams to score

Yes48.5%
No51.5%

Double chance

1X56.6%
X243.4%

Match result

Penafiel2.2
Draw3
Academica3

Both teams to score

Yes48.5% · 1.91
No51.5% · 1.8

1X

Chance56.6%
Odds1.28

X2

Chance43.4%
Odds1.67

Penafiel

Chance40.5%
Odds2.2

Draw

Chance29.7%
Odds3

Academica

Chance29.7%
Odds3

No half-time prices stored.

No corner prices stored.

Model comparison

Our pick: Penafiel at 2.2

PenafielAcademica
Recent form50%50%
Attack50%50%
Defence50%50%
Goals model50%50%
Overall58%42%

Penafiel vs Academica: prediction & preview

Portugal · Segunda Liga · Sat, 5 Sept 2026

Penafiel meet Academica in the Portugal, Segunda Liga on 5 September 2026 at 14:00 (Africa/Lagos). The recorded score is 4–1.

On the 1X2 market the shortest price is Penafiel at 2.2. Once the bookmaker margin is removed, that outcome carries about 40.5% of the implied chance, with the other two outcomes sharing the rest. A short price means the market rates that side more likely. It is not a certainty, and the margin means the three raw probabilities add up to more than 100% before they are scaled.

The 2.5-goal line is priced shorter on Under 2.5 (1.62, about 58.1% after the margin). Both teams to score is shorter on No at 1.8.

Season points-per-game rates were not stored on this fixture yet. The odds chart still shows how the 1X2, goals, and both-teams markets are priced.

Penafiel vs Academica FAQs

4 questions

What time is Penafiel vs Academica?

Kickoff is 14:00 on 5 September 2026, shown in Africa/Lagos.

Which outcome is shortest on Penafiel vs Academica?

Penafiel is the shortest 1X2 price at 2.2. The margin-adjusted share is about 40.5%.

What are the over and under 2.5 prices?

Over 2.5 is 2.25 and under 2.5 is 1.62.

Do both teams score on this match?

Both teams to score is priced at 1.91. That is a market price, not a forecast that both sides will score.

Penafiel vs Academica prediction, H2H and stats