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Penafiel vs Leça Prediction, H2H, Stats & Betting Tips

Portugal · Taça de PortugalSat, 17 Oct 2026

Penafiel

Sat, 17 Oct 202620:00

0 : 1

Full time

Leça

Pre-match win probability

53.7%Penafiel23.9%Draw22.4%Leça

Our prediction

Penafiel

Penafiel is the shortest 1X2 price in the stored market.

Odds1.67
Confidence53.7%
ResultGraded
Pre-match model probabilityPick and odds as published before kick-off
  • Penafiel 53.7%
  • Draw 23.9%
  • Leça 22.4%

Season statistics

Taça de Portugal · highlighted side is stronger

PenafielLeça

Betting markets

Bookmaker prices with margin removed

Goal lineOverUnder
0.5 goals22.6% · 1.052.2% · 11
1.5 goals18.5% · 1.286.8% · 3.5
2.5 goals12.5% · 1.912.5% · 1.9
3.5 goals7.3% · 3.2517.8% · 1.33

Both teams to score

Yes51.5%
No48.5%

Double chance

1X65.1%
X234.9%

Match result

Penafiel1.67
Draw3.75
Leça4

Both teams to score

Yes51.5% · 1.8
No48.5% · 1.91

1X

Chance65.1%
Odds1.18

X2

Chance34.9%
Odds2.2

Penafiel

Chance53.7%
Odds1.67

Draw

Chance23.9%
Odds3.75

Leça

Chance22.4%
Odds4

No half-time prices stored.

No corner prices stored.

Model comparison

Our pick: Penafiel at 1.67

PenafielLeça
Recent form50%50%
Attack50%50%
Defence50%50%
Goals model50%50%
Overall71%29%

Penafiel vs Leça: prediction & preview

Portugal · Taça de Portugal · Sat, 17 Oct 2026

Penafiel meet Leça in the Portugal, Taça de Portugal on 17 October 2026 at 20:00 (Africa/Lagos). The recorded score is 0–1.

On the 1X2 market the shortest price is Penafiel at 1.67. Once the bookmaker margin is removed, that outcome carries about 53.7% of the implied chance, with the other two outcomes sharing the rest. A short price means the market rates that side more likely. It is not a certainty, and the margin means the three raw probabilities add up to more than 100% before they are scaled.

The 2.5-goal line is priced shorter on Over 2.5 (1.9, about 50% after the margin). Both teams to score is shorter on Yes at 1.8.

Season points-per-game rates were not stored on this fixture yet. The odds chart still shows how the 1X2, goals, and both-teams markets are priced.

Penafiel vs Leça FAQs

4 questions

What time is Penafiel vs Leça?

Kickoff is 20:00 on 17 October 2026, shown in Africa/Lagos.

Which outcome is shortest on Penafiel vs Leça?

Penafiel is the shortest 1X2 price at 1.67. The margin-adjusted share is about 53.7%.

What are the over and under 2.5 prices?

Over 2.5 is 1.9 and under 2.5 is 1.9.

Do both teams score on this match?

Both teams to score is priced at 1.8. That is a market price, not a forecast that both sides will score.

Penafiel vs Leça prediction, H2H and stats