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Penafiel vs Leixoes Prediction, H2H, Stats & Betting Tips

Portugal · Segunda LigaFri, 30 Jan 2026

Penafiel

WDLLW

Fri, 30 Jan 202619:45

0 : 0

Full time

Leixoes

DWLLL

Pre-match win probability

39%Penafiel31.1%Draw29.9%Leixoes

Our prediction

Away · Penafiel

Penafiel vs Leixoes listed tip from the board.

Odds3
Confidence39%
ResultGraded
Pre-match model probabilityPick and odds as published before kick-off
  • Penafiel 39%
  • Draw 31.1%
  • Leixoes 29.9%

Season statistics

Segunda Liga · 10 matches each · highlighted side is stronger

PenafielLeixoes
Goals scored (avg)
2.21.3
Goals conceded (avg)Lower is better
1.11.3

Recent form

Last matches · newest first

Penafiel6W 2D 2L in last 10
  • 24 OctFarense1 – 4PenafielW
  • 17 OctPenafiel0 – 1LeçaL
  • 9 OctPenafiel1 – 2AVSL
  • 25 SeptPenafiel2 – 2Deportivo La CorunaD
  • 19 SeptOliveirense1 – 2PenafielW
Leixoes4W 1D 5L in last 10
  • 24 OctAcademica4 – 0LeixoesL
  • 17 OctVianense1 – 0LeixoesL
  • 10 OctLeixoes1 – 2FC Porto BL
  • 20 SeptCinfães0 – 4LeixoesW
  • 11 SeptTorreense0 – 0LeixoesD
H2H
Head to headNo previous meetings found between these sides.

Betting markets

Bookmaker prices with margin removed

Goal lineOverUnder
0.5 goals21.2% · 1.113.6% · 6.5
1.5 goals15.7% · 1.59.4% · 2.5
2.5 goals9.4% · 2.515.7% · 1.5
3.5 goals4.7% · 520.1% · 1.17

Both teams to score

Yes44.3%
No55.7%

Double chance

1X53.5%
X246.5%

Match result

Penafiel2.3
Draw2.88
Leixoes3

Both teams to score

Yes44.3% · 2.1
No55.7% · 1.67

1X

Chance53.5%
Odds1.33

X2

Chance46.5%
Odds1.53

Penafiel

Chance39%
Odds2.3

Draw

Chance31.1%
Odds2.88

Leixoes

Chance29.9%
Odds3

No half-time prices stored.

No corner prices stored.

Model comparison

Our pick: Away at 3

PenafielLeixoes
Recent form61%39%
Attack63%37%
Defence53%47%
Goals model63%37%
Overall57%43%

Trends

Trend · Segunda Liga

Penafiel scored 2.2 per game in the last 10.

Trend · Segunda Liga

Penafiel conceded 1.1 per game in the last 10.

Trend · Segunda Liga

Failed to score in 1 of those 10.

Trend · Segunda Liga

Kept a clean sheet in 2 of those 10.

Penafiel vs Leixoes: prediction & preview

Portugal · Segunda Liga · Fri, 30 Jan 2026

Penafiel meet Leixoes in the Portugal, Segunda Liga on 30 January 2026 at 19:45 (Africa/Lagos). The recorded score is 0–0.

On the 1X2 market the shortest price is Penafiel at 2.3. Once the bookmaker margin is removed, that outcome carries about 39% of the implied chance, with the other two outcomes sharing the rest. A short price means the market rates that side more likely. It is not a certainty, and the margin means the three raw probabilities add up to more than 100% before they are scaled.

The 2.5-goal line is priced shorter on Under 2.5 (1.5, about 62.5% after the margin). Both teams to score is shorter on No at 1.67.

Season points-per-game rates were not stored on this fixture yet. The odds chart still shows how the 1X2, goals, and both-teams markets are priced.

Penafiel vs Leixoes FAQs

4 questions

What time is Penafiel vs Leixoes?

Kickoff is 19:45 on 30 January 2026, shown in Africa/Lagos.

Which outcome is shortest on Penafiel vs Leixoes?

Penafiel is the shortest 1X2 price at 2.3. The margin-adjusted share is about 39%.

What are the over and under 2.5 prices?

Over 2.5 is 2.5 and under 2.5 is 1.5.

Do both teams score on this match?

Both teams to score is priced at 2.1. That is a market price, not a forecast that both sides will score.