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Penafiel vs Maritimo Prediction, H2H, Stats & Betting Tips

Portugal · Segunda LigaSat, 9 May 2026

Penafiel

LWLWW

Sat, 9 May 202615:30

1 : 0

Full time

Maritimo

WWLWD

Pre-match win probability

32.7%Penafiel29%Draw38.3%Maritimo

Our prediction

Draw · Penafiel

Penafiel vs Maritimo listed tip from the board.

Odds3.1
Confidence38.3%
ResultGraded
Pre-match model probabilityPick and odds as published before kick-off
  • Penafiel 32.7%
  • Draw 29%
  • Maritimo 38.3%

Season statistics

Segunda Liga · highlighted side is stronger

PenafielMaritimo

Betting markets

Bookmaker prices with margin removed

Goal lineOverUnder
0.5 goals22.3% · 1.062.4% · 10
1.5 goals17.8% · 1.337.3% · 3.25
2.5 goals11.2% · 2.113.9% · 1.7
3.5 goals6.3% · 3.7518.9% · 1.25

Both teams to score

Yes50%
No50%

Double chance

1X47.1%
X252.9%

Match result

Penafiel2.75
Draw3.1
Maritimo2.35

Both teams to score

Yes50% · 1.83
No50% · 1.83

1X

Chance47.1%
Odds1.53

X2

Chance52.9%
Odds1.36

Penafiel

Chance32.7%
Odds2.75

Draw

Chance29%
Odds3.1

Maritimo

Chance38.3%
Odds2.35

No half-time prices stored.

No corner prices stored.

Model comparison

Our pick: Draw at 3.1

PenafielMaritimo
Recent form50%50%
Attack50%50%
Defence50%50%
Goals model50%50%
Overall46%54%

Penafiel vs Maritimo: prediction & preview

Portugal · Segunda Liga · Sat, 9 May 2026

Penafiel meet Maritimo in the Portugal, Segunda Liga on 9 May 2026 at 15:30 (Africa/Lagos). The recorded score is 1–0.

On the 1X2 market the shortest price is Maritimo at 2.35. Once the bookmaker margin is removed, that outcome carries about 38.3% of the implied chance, with the other two outcomes sharing the rest. A short price means the market rates that side more likely. It is not a certainty, and the margin means the three raw probabilities add up to more than 100% before they are scaled.

The 2.5-goal line is priced shorter on Under 2.5 (1.7, about 55.3% after the margin). Both teams to score is shorter on Yes at 1.83.

Season points-per-game rates were not stored on this fixture yet. The odds chart still shows how the 1X2, goals, and both-teams markets are priced.

Penafiel vs Maritimo FAQs

4 questions

What time is Penafiel vs Maritimo?

Kickoff is 15:30 on 9 May 2026, shown in Africa/Lagos.

Which outcome is shortest on Penafiel vs Maritimo?

Maritimo is the shortest 1X2 price at 2.35. The margin-adjusted share is about 38.3%.

What are the over and under 2.5 prices?

Over 2.5 is 2.1 and under 2.5 is 1.7.

Do both teams score on this match?

Both teams to score is priced at 1.83. That is a market price, not a forecast that both sides will score.

Penafiel vs Maritimo prediction, H2H and stats